# Fukushima United FC vs. Ventforet Kōfu

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 39% across 20 contracts — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fukushima-united-fc-vs-ventforet-kfu
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:55.967Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 39% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $19

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 56¢ | −2pp | $19 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc95a40ed69964b6bf80808a6feb48139a5d5b1f748f578c4ed28b0029609390b |
| Draw (Ventforet Kōfu vs. Júbilo Iwata) | 34¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-draw-ventforet-kfu-vs-polymarket-0x8b615bf029c7087ea75426f4483af357fb2d8ddeb2adf1109cbc7437cf877665 |
| Ventforet Kōfu (-1.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ventfore-polymarket-0xdb97994ff0f9f078764c0bfdce846d16220e7ad6a403a34e8d0bcae6e19e5f07 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xdbabefa95197903ab01772852d0e379335c873592517f1d342f805a5ae4a231f |
| Fujieda MYFC | 49¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-fujieda-myfc-polymarket-0x4bfcf94328459f9b96e5b319c36383116420f7fde0a3adb131bfe62a9e1fc395 |
| Fukushima United FC (-2.5) | 35¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0xa28785ed92e4f5f80469a41251035e0a5070ec3bee325b6c68a7fcfffe9800f2 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x35df374ce3e6fd83656a7376b8980d9a428a9cbd1eab32a2fdff65f2a7b00e4f |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x799b4127a82931bf9daf48211943e47b260b95de63fb22de6bed85cd69a0e88e |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x2c9b2c177c59e71ec645a3e8f9aa0615fe7006817ec471b7ad0c04d9217af16e |
| Fukushima United FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0x37f47e700c3fca9d09d29e917fa33865d1d36e78ab220205158c040a782519c3 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x6ae87aada8ac044869602743e762f47975c5e8db09aba99b39fa32767636092d |
| Fukushima United FC | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-fukushima-unit-polymarket-0x19ecdc51afb427b5b6d277bfec4aa09a62e3060e8eeba72263f639b2485d09ff |
| Ventforet Kōfu | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-ventforet-kfu-polymarket-0xda69dd67b32702248a1fdf939b379ea7c8201b93e73c1a33eb65247e6f1fca85 |
| Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jbilo-iw-polymarket-0x077801ccd318481da22b45a47be6e7f377e225734b5d5f4608451ddefd153ead |
| Júbilo Iwata (-2.5) | 35¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-jbilo-iw-polymarket-0x9dc1f00053d8d17456f4ab9af1182cbbc8a244303bd6df5c8fe29a67c9da3abe |
| Ventforet Kōfu (-2.5) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/ventforet-kfu-vs-jbilo-iwata-more-markets-ventfore-polymarket-0xcac6d64b5b91bbe848ae0f625e84a99d9898a73a5fce724a954fac491b71bece |
| Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) | 30¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0xb2f97dd54209caf84e171256fe5d32ab62b45132bd16e70400225d48f8cc27c2 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xae2766d22cfd12afb304c7d9808f40f1e422bd74cf37fd95b22f2660775a6491 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xe281bebf883174950005c88d94614922a1d58445e2fd7f8582f73a1eb3b9c04a |
| Fujieda MYFC (-2.5) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0x5720644d6de3d853f17d98b3f540ed7400047e5395f9b25483cf2004fb004517 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Fukushima United FC (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Júbilo Iwata (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Fukushima United FC (-2.5) +3pp 35→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/fukushima-united-fc-vs-ventforet-kfu
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=fukushima-united-fc-vs-ventforet-kfu

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
