# Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC

> Gangwon FC leads at 40%, runner-up 27% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gangwon-fc-vs-daejeon-hana-citizen-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:42.936Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-12

## Headline

- Leader: Gangwon FC at 40%
- Runner-up: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC at 27%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 40¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-gangwon-fc-polymarket-0x242df9f768a76c9e14c7fde7435d1f88db020fe782e6f842f598938c49b61829 |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 27¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-daejeon-hana-polymarket-0x2e57d9e7449ea8482d1bea6157e1b88094fd4e6f7c3c2933d19e0b6cacc6a09e |
| Draw (Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC) | 26¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-draw-gangwon-polymarket-0x49b11ec00dd35988d0f2fc65f9226c7726835af2205c160650481f92c3beac78 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Gangwon FC | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | Draw (Gangwon FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 41 | 28 | 27 |
| 2026-05-08 | 41 | 27 | 26 |
| 2026-05-09 | 40 | — | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects a prediction market's assessment that Gangwon FC has a 42% chance of winning their match against Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, with a 28% chance for Daejeon and 26% for a draw. The K League 1 fixture outcome depends on relative team form, recent head-to-head results, injury status, and home-field advantage. Gangwon's slight edge in implied probability could reflect stronger current standings position, better recent performance, or home-ground status. The match result will be determined on the scheduled fixture date, which would fully resolve this contract. Market pricing typically reflects available public information about both teams' recent performances, squad availability, and tactical matchups, though low trading volume suggests limited liquidity in these specific contracts.

### Key factors

- Current K League 1 standings position and points differential between Gangwon FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
- Head-to-head historical win rates and recent form in their last 5-10 matches
- Confirmed player injuries, suspensions, or unavailability for either team ahead of the fixture
- Home-field advantage if the match is played at Gangwon's or Daejeon's stadium
- Recent goal differential and defensive performance trends for both clubs this season

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gangwon-fc-vs-daejeon-hana-citizen-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gangwon-fc-vs-daejeon-hana-citizen-fc

## License

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