# Gangwon FC vs. FC Seoul

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 27% across 19 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gangwon-fc-vs-fc-seoul
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:35:22.378Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 27% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $142

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 56¢ | +5pp | $103 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-fc-seoul-polymarket-0x83fd307f0f8ee4dd6da72fd204a4c072d79a3d752ea84d2bd9228021e1016ea6 |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | −7pp | $28 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-poha-polymarket-0xbebd40e0775489e30acba700dc801ea287d98a2cdd798bcbd74090cc0dce6491 |
| Draw (FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang) | 26¢ | −1pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-draw-fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-polymarket-0x2238da8b647a5fa579969c85e975871969923363b5eb17b85845190746729582 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | +1pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-1-polymarket-0x4a0472cb7ccdcd5366403565331f4a95348950540345b4d9bc38cb051f3f2ce2 |
| Gangwon FC | 45¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-gangwon-fc-polymarket-0x09ab68384d4d225b73ee81dc3d999bed2d77b5f4c330ca15faf3d522e1e20c78 |
| FC Anyang | 18¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-fc-anyang-polymarket-0x6f7ad71d9944343c5f87b51fe2484f89c0c9508435c79e4f6983cb618b95acce |
| FC Seoul (-1.5) | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-fc-seoul-15-polymarket-0x756747e4314d045f8135590fa43d91e2818f9f6e9e6829449ec67b0a7b1d4a02 |
| O/U 1.5 | 71¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x89cfce598695c7ed44795b0339921b8aea79461dd382ef5a305c2a435462d97c |
| O/U 4.5 | 9¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x486d108e3eba44ead6b95f1fdd51f746ad31f9b4985a518771e30762002beda9 |
| Pohang Steelers FC | 24¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-pohang-steelers-f-polymarket-0xa80cd7cea8e72ee13a95418eabf7e7dc15764334801b08c5f1503d988061c5ea |
| FC Seoul (-2.5) | 11¢ | +7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-fc-seoul-25-polymarket-0x5631346af4ffc8c21b4da628974402f523670bca565438b0318227e0b3694cc0 |
| Draw (Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC) | 31¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-draw-gangwon-fc-v-polymarket-0x723f6513bff795c8e26c77d1a02dc05383b9ee65b6468ab1692b1fe11dc56749 |
| Gangwon FC (-1.5) | 19¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-gang-polymarket-0x9773477051a3c61942e8e0a25db15ec0cc259cc84a8129b808f5da2ee5454855 |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) | 8¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-poha-polymarket-0xe483f075697000ad1401fe2478d87793c1c64ba6bd865b6684fa7090bfbc01b4 |
| O/U 3.5 | 19¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-3-polymarket-0x9e7de8736cfe8c0a7d4852c1766964d88ea13f5a0ac20f6e937b1a331b02ac10 |
| Gangwon FC (-2.5) | 7¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-gang-polymarket-0x36d69b46f9ba0a6cfc5168b305eca85afa449e888dea2c0d48395ad3a81b31ff |
| O/U 2.5 | 46¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd26be67eb8063684a18f894ad63acd1640f9b8eca67301985d331e2336b9ae86 |
| O/U 4.5 | 7¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x22a7b873ff4263dd494ac04691c575e34e6ead679615d49097bdbeec5509f1ac |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-seoul-vs-fc-anyang-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x73afd8a5d2d9b2cbfbb91d60ec14fcd032183c6dc4706c4f39d6d4a2f93a14c3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 32 |
| 2026-05-03 | 31 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) −24pp 37→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) −23pp 35→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gangwon FC (-2.5) −15pp 33→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Gangwon FC (-2.5) −10pp 18→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 4.5 −10pp 19→9¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gangwon-fc-vs-fc-seoul
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gangwon-fc-vs-fc-seoul

## License

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