# Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 65%, runner-up 46% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:28.794Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 46%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $29

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | +1pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-1-polymarket-0x4a0472cb7ccdcd5366403565331f4a95348950540345b4d9bc38cb051f3f2ce2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-both-polymarket-0xdb7be8346be40aa763c55f68f85fd3167b7990b5d332f721c69c933b2038c886 |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-2-polymarket-0x39eae113869c1417d45063c370cc1a1de6cf6959b55b185ab24de3da4206cc7b |
| Gangwon FC (-1.5) | 19¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-gang-polymarket-0x9773477051a3c61942e8e0a25db15ec0cc259cc84a8129b808f5da2ee5454855 |
| O/U 3.5 | 19¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-3-polymarket-0x9e7de8736cfe8c0a7d4852c1766964d88ea13f5a0ac20f6e937b1a331b02ac10 |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) | 8¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-poha-polymarket-0xe483f075697000ad1401fe2478d87793c1c64ba6bd865b6684fa7090bfbc01b4 |
| Gangwon FC (-2.5) | 7¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-gang-polymarket-0x36d69b46f9ba0a6cfc5168b305eca85afa449e888dea2c0d48395ad3a81b31ff |
| O/U 4.5 | 7¢ | −10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-4-polymarket-0x22a7b873ff4263dd494ac04691c575e34e6ead679615d49097bdbeec5509f1ac |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | −7pp | $28 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-poha-polymarket-0xbebd40e0775489e30acba700dc801ea287d98a2cdd798bcbd74090cc0dce6491 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | — | 52 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 65 | 48 | 39 |
| 2026-05-03 | 66 | — | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) −24pp 37→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) −23pp 35→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gangwon FC (-2.5) −15pp 33→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Gangwon FC (-2.5) −10pp 18→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 4.5 −10pp 19→9¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market estimates a 45% probability that Gangwon FC defeats Pohang Steelers FC in their upcoming match. The estimate is based on limited trading activity across five related contracts on Polymarket, with relatively low daily volume ($265–$50 across top pairs). The K League 1 match outcome depends on team form, head-to-head history, injury status, and home-field advantage, with recent performance trends and lineup changes likely to shift probabilities as the fixture date approaches. Resolution occurs at the final whistle, making pre-match updates to betting odds the primary window for uncertainty reduction before the contract settles.

### Key factors

- Polymarket trading volume remains low ($50–$265 per contract in top pairs), indicating limited liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads than deeply-traded sports futures
- The 45% leading price reflects one trader's or group's position rather than an arithmetic average; the runner-up contract at 21% suggests material disagreement on win probability across contracts
- K League 1 standings, recent form, and head-to-head records between Gangwon and Pohang will be the primary analytical inputs for serious traders before match day
- No injury reports, roster changes, or official lineups are reflected in current pricing if announced after market creation
- The outcome is binary and fully resolved at the final whistle, with no ambiguity in settlement criteria

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.