# Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC

> Gimcheon Sangmu FC leads at 42%, runner-up 30% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc
Updated: 2026-05-09T00:05:14.534Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-09

## Headline

- Leader: Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 42%
- Runner-up: Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC) at 30%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $582

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 42¢ | +2pp | $302 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-gimcheon-s-polymarket-0x1690ea2ddaea3e5d23fae1909df93fed25f111f088499621a9af0cce93410ac1 |
| Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC) | 30¢ | ±0 | $87 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-draw-gimch-polymarket-0xfdf32e7eb15b0492741182f9ede3b31918f887198d2b6c0ca0ee5654956aa5e1 |
| Incheon United FC | 29¢ | −2pp | $193 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-incheon-un-polymarket-0xbd358c6570a6f4090c218a49327d12c95670a242facb0bcfe1d768163371ac10 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Draw (Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC) | Incheon United FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 40 | 29 | 32 |
| 2026-05-07 | — | 30 | 32 |
| 2026-05-08 | 41 | 30 | 30 |
| 2026-05-09 | 43 | — | 28 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

The market currently prices Gimcheon Sangmu FC as a 42% favorite to win this match, with Incheon United FC at 35% and a draw at 33%. This represents near-even odds across all three outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the result. The probability reflects recent form, head-to-head history, and current league standing between these K League teams. Key factors include recent win-loss records, injuries or suspensions affecting key players, and home-field advantage. The match outcome will be definitively resolved when the game concludes, with the winner determined by final score or penalty shootout if applicable. Trading volume remains inactive at present, suggesting limited recent market conviction around this specific fixture.

### Key factors

- Recent form and goals scored/conceded by each team in their last 5-10 K League matches
- Head-to-head record and performance patterns in prior meetings between Gimcheon Sangmu and Incheon United
- Availability of key players due to injury, suspension, or international duty at match time
- Current league standings and points differential that may influence playing style or risk tolerance
- Whether the match is played at a neutral venue or one team's home ground, and historical home advantage statistics for each side

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc

## License

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