# Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 75%, runner-up 55% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 8 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-05T00:05:41.630Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 75%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 55%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 75¢ | ±0 | $49 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-bot-polymarket-0xf3ccec98aeb6344ece6adadce36427c489c59a413486e525a4b9023749b79b09 |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | −2pp | $572 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 3.5 | 28¢ | −1pp | $165 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x549c4a97211a25b26253c9db93c77de3b98a4a66ef4d02600adda6e0f5ca6600 |
| Ulsan HD FC (-1.5) | 16¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-uls-polymarket-0x23088dff136de91533ed17ab39f8707f8cd20755d34b4c84ea6bbad37cff3169 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5) | 14¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-gim-polymarket-0xcd6e1510f447a1f0ba07a0e99153075bb607b79da6f84b452c753ef4ad0b79ca |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | −1pp | $17 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x6bf7a43e176741b749890f4c3a5d781f0da3fb7ef5bc2476a1494d53c83df057 |
| Ulsan HD FC (-2.5) | 6¢ | −7pp | $191 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-uls-polymarket-0x468b9803cded8b468608aba0be9302d4a9600f32853e62e4522cad9451855e2f |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | −7pp | $283 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-gim-polymarket-0x6d870aef7877b3c939278596272a6768ebfb6aaa0242da17f9ab468d58c698af |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | — | 52 | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 74 | 55 | 49 |
| 2026-05-03 | 74 | 54 | 47 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Ulsan HD FC (-2.5) −24pp 37→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5) −22pp 35→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Ulsan HD FC (-1.5) −16pp 36→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5) −11pp 31→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5) −7pp 13→6¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 74% probability indicates that Gimcheon Sangmu FC is favored to beat Ulsan HD FC in an upcoming match. This assessment reflects the current market pricing across 12 contracts, with Ulsan's implied win probability at 36 cents. The probability level suggests a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage for Gimcheon. Key drivers of this pricing likely include recent team performance records, head-to-head history, player availability, and current league standings. The match result itself will resolve the question when the game is completed. Broader context includes the relative liquidity of these Korean football markets and whether any late-breaking team news emerges before kickoff. The 74% level reflects genuine uncertainty despite Gimcheon being the market favorite.

### Key factors

- Gimcheon Sangmu's recent form and current league position relative to Ulsan HD's defensive record
- Head-to-head historical matchup data and any patterns favoring one team in direct contests
- Confirmed player availability, injuries, or absences that significantly impact either team's tactical setup
- Home-field advantage status and travel factors, if applicable, for the scheduled venue
- Market contract volume and liquidity levels remain modest ($86 24h), suggesting pricing may shift with new information or larger positions

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets

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