# Giravanz Kitakyūshū vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 41% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:58.138Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 41% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x9129c6d9f9cbd07b3b06194bcc629b0b120ddf7c729b3d48340cb9adb17bdb55 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0xb972b717ce93cb571f24032c012df313ea81fdfbbcd9f811f1391b9aae43e015 |
| Roasso Kumamoto (-1.5) | 32¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x3e73ddd978196e7caf02ee47b744d06aef22aa50bc766c0887800403c7cab26f |
| Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0xaaeaf2cfb3eb39e114b42dd4dc45970dcd84501e1848e33fcde5cf933f6f2a40 |
| Reilac Shiga (-1.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0x0f5665c225149dbe84afa4e40a1bd581aee9d37ee89f4e53a31e4ebf9371f01a |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x32de6b71e8be134fa22c6cd98215d5a6aea943283af791854d029622c915ada9 |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x03536323a1a8f83abdf45667871bd0f123440908e6f273e298292df61148ec63 |
| Reilac Shiga (-2.5) | 32¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0xdd3092e342d7ec1e30755e4b3aef3551cbc790635a037482ad92955c4e8c9e74 |
| Roasso Kumamoto (-2.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x13917b41d289056020830b44b9e5adfa7a55621c5544f6801a5b4beb03442bc5 |
| Giravanz Kitakyūshū (-1.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x226e5a60c6827a47ba6097d73d8b6ed1c59114d76f6949972060d9216d2144b2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x1b2ae8f24c71c828c0cf1ecff8f67b600d8512567e2033b98389a3982bf6f42c |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x303510bcb696aba478484a929f96eb9bf76361a3140c8c6f2032dfad8c073c8a |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x0a8c9d49db24553dbeccb4e8f5626d854f310d5d91eaf433d38804449c1d15b7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x9e0a7987caa0a0cba2c2609f78114e6e7c049596c5a987210b8c46b666dd5073 |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xae5a2b87d29499e06bc927e017f1f5c9df30ba4b3799e5ceb7b69126c1ff2d40 |
| Giravanz Kitakyūshū (-2.5) | 26¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x2185500c2904f81e9b563d66af1ed9780c27224d2de0ed45aaba8269dc2c9d13 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets-r-polymarket-0xd7af9502399881d796357dd1c2f135082cb1f7e26bdbcfc217a11880009bfee6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-more-markets-polymarket-0x59b299fc4021607125c252f41a631c6fe859873f9a60438610be69cc56a22b8a |
| Giravanz Kitakyūshū | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-roasso-kumamoto-giravanz-kita-polymarket-0x293b9d327a24d724186373053ec50f6e9bf4e2a4153360eb8d088aa5778b3984 |
| Reilac Shiga | 50¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/reilac-shiga-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-reilac-shiga-polymarket-0x6e16efb90d61db052428897a4bb259a4e7cdeafb3f78c51e9aa942bbac811cf2 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 41 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Roasso Kumamoto (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Reilac Shiga (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-2.5) +3pp 35→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Roasso Kumamoto (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Renofa Yamaguchi FC (-1.5) +3pp 33→36¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/giravanz-kitakysh-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=giravanz-kitakysh-vs-renofa-yamaguchi-fc-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.