# Will GMGN launch a token by ___

> December 31, 2027 leads at 61%, runner-up 10% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 23 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gmgn-launch-token
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:09.849Z
Category: crypto
Status: active
Closes: 2028-01-01

## Headline

- Leader: December 31, 2027 at 61%
- Runner-up: December 31, 2026 at 10%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $310

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 61¢ | −21pp | $310 | polymarket | /markets/will-gmgn-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027-polymarket-0xe8d591c94cb09c4972cf53851e581b5c91f68fe71e89f30bba3dd012cf9206b1 |
| December 31, 2026 | 10¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/will-gmgn-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026-polymarket-0x7c766e85bfe1b85b10f5a3d130d1b1772645c797038567fad69db4ae70b19b99 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | December 31, 2027 | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | — | 35 |
| 2026-05-14 | — | 18 |
| 2026-05-19 | — | 11 |
| 2026-05-21 | 50 | — |
| 2026-05-22 | 82 | — |
| 2026-05-26 | — | 10 |
| 2026-05-27 | 61 | — |

_24 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-22 · December 31, 2027 +32pp 50→82¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-27 · December 31, 2027 −21pp 82→61¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gmgn-launch-token
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gmgn-launch-token

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.