# Will the gold close price be above 5211.99 USD/t.oz on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

> above $4060.99 leads at 95%, runner-up 92% across 19 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/goldw
Updated: 2026-06-08T05:20:07.848Z
Category: markets
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-12

## Headline

- Leader: above $4060.99 at 95%
- Runner-up: above $4100.99 at 92%
- Outcomes: 19 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $6K
- Resolved: above $4415.99

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $4060.99 | 95¢ | +1pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-406099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4060.99 |
| above $4100.99 | 92¢ | +2pp | $653 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-410099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4100.99 |
| above $4080.99 | 92¢ | +2pp | $100 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-408099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4080.99 |
| above $4120.99 | 90¢ | +2pp | $411 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-412099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4120.99 |
| above $4140.99 | 87¢ | +2pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-414099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4140.99 |
| above $4160.99 | 83¢ | +1pp | $80 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-416099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4160.99 |
| above $4180.99 | 79¢ | +1pp | $48 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-418099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4180.99 |
| above $4200.99 | 75¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-420099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4200.99 |
| above $4220.99 | 71¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-422099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4220.99 |
| above $4240.99 | 66¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-424099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4240.99 |
| above $4300.99 | 51¢ | +2pp | $20 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-430099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4300.99 |
| above $4320.99 | 45¢ | +2pp | $211 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-432099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4320.99 |
| above $4380.99 | 31¢ | +1pp | $272 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-438099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4380.99 |
| above $4400.99 | 27¢ | +2pp | $280 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-440099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4400.99 |
| above $4420.99 | 22¢ | +1pp | $316 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-442099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4420.99 |
| above $4440.99 | 18¢ | +1pp | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-444099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4440.99 |
| above $4540.99 | 6¢ | ±0 | $827 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-454099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4540.99 |
| above $4560.99 | 5¢ | −1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-456099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4560.99 |
| above $4580.99 | 4¢ | −1pp | $3 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-gold-close-price-be-above-458099-usdtoz-o-kalshi-kxgoldw-26jun1217-t4580.99 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | above $4060.99 | above $4100.99 | above $4080.99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | 92 | 88 | 90 |
| 2026-06-06 | 92 | 88 | 90 |
| 2026-06-07 | 94 | 90 | 91 |
| 2026-06-08 | 95 | 92 | 93 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-07 · above $4160.99 +4pp 79→83¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · above $4180.99 +4pp 76→80¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · above $4220.99 +4pp 68→72¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · above $4140.99 +3pp 82→85¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-07 · above $4120.99 +3pp 85→88¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/goldw
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=goldw

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.