# Above 350000 gonorrhea cases in the United States during 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 56% across 9 contracts — refreshed 52 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gonorrheacount
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.525Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Probability: 56% (liquidity-weighted across 9 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $22

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 325k | 71¢ | −1pp | $22 | kalshi | /markets/above-325000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a325000 |
| Above 285k | 81¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-285000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a285000 |
| Above 300k | 77¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-300000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a300000 |
| Above 350k | 68¢ | −5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-350000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a350000 |
| Above 375k | 62¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-375000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a375000 |
| Above 400k | 54¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-400000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a400000 |
| Above 425k | 39¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-425000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a425000 |
| Above 450k | 29¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-450000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a450000 |
| Above 500k | 19¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/above-500000-gonorrhea-cases-in-the-united-states-kalshi-kxgonorrheacount-27jan01-a500000 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 21 |
| 2026-05-21 | 60 |
| 2026-05-28 | 73 |

_15 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-21 · Above 350k +12pp 62→74¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-21 · Above 300k +10pp 75→85¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-21 · Above 425k +10pp 29→39¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-25 · Above 325k −9pp 80→71¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-23 · Above 425k +9pp 35→44¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gonorrheacount
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gonorrheacount

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.