# Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 72%, runner-up 51% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:20:28.175Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 72%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 51%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $46

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | −1pp | $14 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xa764e95402cb8da71eafedbd07b8cf31b96d851a39bf9f1240a120abc4e201bf |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xc0000a267bf3c616adca476ba53cebb83a43b3f05d8f9a5858f03f6bc6f78b4e |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xe4851cad9e5cc5404fba6674020a172ee6681f34ca6417c594ad390e095027b7 |
| CR Flamengo (-1.5) | 24¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-cr-flamengo-polymarket-0x2ca84bf039c99575b029d5ed8866e4001bb7b029545de9e10883be89729ec4be |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xb44debf8108ff4373c52c3721d91039f991ff37079d18007bbf887e218a571d1 |
| O/U 4.5 | 10¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x2bd680420bb39951d486fc33bcf2d3fa4b792208247e7a3f7e87c53d43562348 |
| CR Flamengo (-2.5) | 9¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-cr-flamengo-polymarket-0x98c3784aba60e890c1803904a3c9b9c53de950034a7ff5a9b0fb3127b67db0d7 |
| Grêmio FBPA (-1.5) | 8¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-grmio-fbpa-polymarket-0x2babcb3ea4a3b9176c502f58f3914a1df2b46716a6968a141fb88d9dee48bacb |
| Grêmio FBPA (-2.5) | 4¢ | −1pp | $33 | polymarket | /markets/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets-grmio-fbpa-polymarket-0xa11f1551b1a4622dee0f2ef92d27f2bd7cb6cf57d049109b36090d658b158dc4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | — | 47 | 48 |
| 2026-05-08 | 73 | 51 | 47 |
| 2026-05-09 | 72 | 51 | 45 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Grêmio FBPA (-2.5) −7pp 12→5¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Both Teams to Score +4pp 47→51¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Grêmio FBPA (-1.5) −3pp 13→10¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · CR Flamengo (-2.5) −3pp 12→9¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The market is pricing an 51% probability that both Grêmio and Flamengo will score in their upcoming match. This outcome sits notably higher than markets on Grêmio winning by specific margins (10-12%), suggesting traders view a competitive, open match more likely than a dominant performance by either side. The probability is driven by both teams' recent offensive and defensive form—higher-scoring matches between top-tier Brazilian clubs typically reflect balanced attacking capabilities and moderate defensive vulnerabilities. The outcome will be determined by the match itself, with factors including lineup availability, weather conditions, and tactical approaches all influencing whether both teams find the net. Resolution is straightforward and occurs immediately upon match completion.

### Key factors

- Recent goal-scoring rates for both Grêmio and Flamengo in league play compared to their defensive records
- Head-to-head match history between these clubs, including typical match patterns and defensive solidity
- Confirmed player availability, injuries, or suspensions affecting either team's offensive or defensive lineup
- Match venue and time, as home-field advantage and crowd energy can influence attacking play
- Current league standings and competitive motivation—teams fighting for positions may approach the match differently than those with secured standings

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=grmio-fbpa-vs-cr-flamengo-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.