# GV CD San José vs. Club Bolívar

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 35% across 20 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gv-cd-san-jos-vs-club-bolvar
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:35:21.710Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 35% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 33% / Polymarket 35% — 2pp spread
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otakar Esports | 33¢ | +1pp | $841 | kalshi | /markets/will-otakar-esports-win-the-ucam-esports-club-vs-o-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26may031400ucamota-ota |
| Robelis Despaigne to win in Round 1 | 39¢ | −21pp | $321 | kalshi | /markets/will-robelis-despaigne-win-the-junior-dos-santos-v-kalshi-kxufcvicround-26may16dosdes-des1 |
| CA Lanús | 22¢ | — | $260 | polymarket | /markets/club-always-ready-vs-ca-lans-ca-lans-polymarket-0x4eec59e01470b72978c3eb8d56e7610e1e53db931b6fc627b1cd4f6c489c304b |
| Decision / Draw / No Contest | 26¢ | — | $100 | kalshi | /markets/will-either-competitor-win-the-junior-dos-santos-v-kalshi-kxufcvicround-26may16dosdes-other |
| Ulsan HD FC | 36¢ | +2pp | $86 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-ulsan-hd-fc-polymarket-0x7f5e73a1e1d8ef935c37b02bfa22007d8fdbfefe92f85d66f2fffcb07a73c050 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | — | $16 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x7dbbccb5586a821294b220131acd0a7aab90279e4eb59d0a02c3f9fc7b885def |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC | 47¢ | +2pp | $12 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-wuhan-san-z-polymarket-0x13b64b20aec5484de695c175fc83653c6671149e66c58a995f23b5be8c114305 |
| Deportivo La Guaira FC | 32¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-deportivo-la-polymarket-0xc1b5b29ed69618b15f2c5fee5fc8f9713b2c2d59deb481e8531e61bf502c4113 |
| Club Bolívar | 41¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-club-bolvar-polymarket-0x866f7d6fcb8bbf68c20cb33f4afa51ee0efc76e5959d7414bd6e293e085be26f |
| Deportivo La Guaira FC (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x457f5048aaa471799b0d7ad737d3d26c7a76086381b8a42c41ec13b0d080fc0a |
| Club Bolívar (-1.5) | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xf9ba9e37163b942d21fe87d4a37ac1ee10be7dc3a38950355e1acedc5ad3120c |
| Deportivo La Guaira FC (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xf2f098f5eda100471264ebf59f81e0bf9e4b54a5525d64d5fea2fc319552756f |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x7516361f3651865a62c39a69e685cb4884c8ce056b8a6e6ea5c07202ae25dd07 |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0xbd91ad1dd1092ee5a1009fbcc1d1d5913a88eb365bdbd6060c7134171162e563 |
| Club Bolívar (-2.5) | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x0a4cf4790e54377ef6360757acfc13f4e485f7d7388476acad7f1e929e4ca0fc |
| Draw (Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar) | 28¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-draw-deporti-polymarket-0x6baef589239d6f3714b5e8e980dee2b50911de8ca6f519736df7040c9e4732db |
| O/U 3.5 | 26¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x235d60e0163af27aa6b6d1916db83cdca7d4948c01b0d9756171b581dcafe322 |
| O/U 2.5 | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/deportivo-la-guaira-fc-vs-club-bolvar-more-markets-polymarket-0x918a9b1ce8e32f88972d72c122fc178984be922ae72e3399c77fec7eb07e2eb7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 5 |
| 2026-05-01 | 30 |
| 2026-05-02 | 42 |
| 2026-05-03 | 34 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Robelis Despaigne to win in Round 1 −21pp 42→21¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Otakar Esports +8pp 5→13¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gv-cd-san-jos-vs-club-bolvar
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gv-cd-san-jos-vs-club-bolvar

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.