# Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 65%, runner-up 54% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:35:29.605Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-12

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 54%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xddaec318462415004b1776ceeea5aad65a6d8bd2275f9b740d2548b7c9992255 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x3ac1ac01e5026fa49be05eaea97306cb66691f91a529fe281c0a8d9a98559f08 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-both-teams-to-polymarket-0x52adad68d28f5daa9f5500fad241ef6f641bc04098f38285ab0d3338e7605b4d |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0xc3a79e07d5d1a5cc9f7170678473c5ff9d77fd59373a119acc276439b88d1e9c |
| Gwangju FC (-1.5) | 32¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-gwangju-fc-15-polymarket-0x1338214735a784d24039d482f80387eb004011b70e2f0d74210ef18ecee83401 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x1763cfdcf9fa3feac80c056c8cff3bbd9877e63c227d93eb557f6eae8d63e833 |
| FC Seoul (-2.5) | 28¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-fc-seoul-25-polymarket-0x3fdde9a7fe65e22dc88d9b5f58c6ea834f8a600b03bfd17f274c5b70efbe422a |
| FC Seoul (-1.5) | 28¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-fc-seoul-15-polymarket-0xdd7a9838f28bb9474d37d12c97cf90af18c90ed30d2b9580e295c3bcdd961b16 |
| Gwangju FC (-2.5) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets-gwangju-fc-25-polymarket-0x4219108d21ca3700761fe3df94483987b04bc46716bab618c8bbe5e0f926a326 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | 63 | 53 | 52 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · O/U 4.5 +4pp 26→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · FC Seoul (-1.5) −4pp 33→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · FC Seoul (-1.5) +3pp 29→32¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 51% probability reflects market expectations that both Gwangju FC and FC Seoul will score in their upcoming match. This outcome sits notably above the runner-up option at 33%, suggesting participants view a two-goal game as more likely than a single-team victory by a specific margin. The probability is influenced by both teams' recent attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities—teams with stronger offensive records and weaker defenses typically increase the likelihood of mutual scoring. The K League match itself serves as the resolution event; once the game concludes and final scoring is recorded, this uncertainty fully resolves. Market pricing shows minimal trading volume across these contracts, indicating low liquidity and wider bid-ask spreads typical of less-watched fixtures.

### Key factors

- Gwangju FC's recent goal-scoring frequency compared to their season average
- FC Seoul's defensive record and goals-conceded rate in recent matches
- Head-to-head history between these teams regarding both-teams-to-score outcomes
- Each team's current injury status affecting key offensive or defensive players
- Match venue and historical scoring patterns in Gwangju vs. Seoul locations

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=gwangju-fc-vs-fc-seoul-more-markets

## License

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