# Will the H100 SXM compute per hour price be above $1.64 on Apr 30

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 38% across 7 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/h100mon
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:20:48.840Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 38% (liquidity-weighted across 7 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $46K

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chennai Super Kings | 4¢ | +1pp | $18K | kalshi | /markets/will-chennai-super-kings-win-the-ipl-chennai-super-kalshi-kxipl-26-csk |
| Nate Diaz | 38¢ | −2pp | $11K | kalshi | /markets/will-nate-diaz-win-the-diaz-vs-perry-professional-kalshi-kxufcfight-26may16diaper-dia |
| Mike Perry | 61¢ | ±0 | $7K | kalshi | /markets/will-mike-perry-win-the-diaz-vs-perry-professional-kalshi-kxufcfight-26may16diaper-per |
| Before 2027 | 18¢ | −2pp | $6K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-us-sovereign-wealth-fund-be-operational-b-kalshi-kxusfund-27 |
| Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 95¢ | +1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-roberto-snchez-palomino-finish-2nd-in-the-fir-kalshi-kxperupres2nd-26mar25-2-rpal |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 43¢ | +8pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-tulsi-gabbard-be-the-next-person-to-leave-the-kalshi-kxcabout-26apr20-tgab |
| AI | 10¢ | −3pp | $230 | kalshi | /markets/will-ai-be-time-person-of-the-year-in-2026-ai-kalshi-kxtime-26-ai |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 10 |
| 2026-04-19 | 30 |
| 2026-04-26 | 48 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Tulsi Gabbard −19pp 54→35¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Tulsi Gabbard +8pp 35→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Tulsi Gabbard −7pp 56→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · Nate Diaz +6pp 29→35¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-27 · Tulsi Gabbard +6pp 49→55¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/h100mon
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=h100mon

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.