# Will a human case of Andes virus in United States be reported before Jun 1, 2026

> Spain leads at 64%, runner-up 55% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hantacountry
Updated: 2026-05-09T05:05:38.434Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Spain at 64%
- Runner-up: United Kingdom at 55%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $21K

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 64¢ | +15pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-spain-be-repor-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-spa |
| United Kingdom | 55¢ | +11pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-united-kingdom-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-uk |
| United States | 46¢ | +3pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-united-states-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-usa |
| Germany | 39¢ | −2pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-germany-be-rep-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-ger |
| France | 30¢ | +2pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-france-be-repo-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-fr |
| Canada | 30¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-canada-be-repo-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-can |
| India | 13¢ | +2pp | $951 | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-india-be-repor-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-ind |
| Japan | 11¢ | +3pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-japan-be-repor-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-jap |
| China | 7¢ | −1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-human-case-of-andes-virus-in-china-be-repor-kalshi-kxhantacountry-26-chi |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Spain | United Kingdom | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 10 | 9 | 17 |
| 2026-05-08 | 49 | 44 | 44 |
| 2026-05-09 | 64 | 55 | 47 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Spain +39pp 10→49¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · United Kingdom +35pp 9→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Germany +33pp 9→42¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · United States +27pp 17→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Canada +20pp 9→29¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hantacountry
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=hantacountry

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.