# Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 38% across 20 contracts — refreshed 4 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/henan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:04.715Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 38% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 38% / Polymarket 38% — 0pp spread
- 24h volume: $327

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41¢ | −1pp | $63 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shangha-polymarket-0x0f12adbd65214f510e481ce8046e4ee5734fc989a91112d97336a7b76b954df5 |
| O/U 3.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $59 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x20d721738ab4675ffa74b9658dd81047ccf230ec9b96336135e3735e94b32fe8 |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 38¢ | +2pp | $57 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-chongqing-t-polymarket-0x903ccc4370f7f20deb743e6ed853814a37e30aa6a33244bebb42306a222db6d5 |
| O/U 2.5 | 66¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 4.5 | 26¢ | ±0 | $44 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xff2a9ae2fdab6bc541bb122c6e8536fa84672c9535085f8579d0d04d432ccd1f |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 17¢ | −3pp | $23 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-sh-polymarket-0xc09bd520a896897f49bb5fa423f6883e4ccf9ab3ab7c40b9c303e1c378bd6667 |
| O/U 2.5 | 56¢ | — | $14 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-mo-polymarket-0x64562d2a13d04c9e590ca640c26a2f7cce42de7a8e7a0056e3ffc7c4226092f6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 44¢ | −1pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x34dea0c254706b6fd913c43aba8ca3870604d03bfc3204ecc5448139d08c204d |
| Shanghai Haigang FC | 63¢ | +5pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/shanghai-haigang-fc-vs-shenzhen-xinpengcheng-fc-sh-polymarket-0xa0abb958d6d1ad8643e3975bffb67432928aab4d1c4cd9d6162708a6a31e77bd |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 38¢ | — | $3 | kalshi | /markets/shandong-taishan-vs-shanghai-shenhua-winner-shangh-kalshi-kxchnslgame-26may05shtshs-shs |
| Henan FC | 35¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-henan-fc-polymarket-0x87c7a1b36787f225016c845118acb4b447b7d77db2d91359c24a83a78301b306 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 21¢ | +6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1602b23f36593f063d4bdf5db9da4245b4e51d9bff1ad87aaa3e85c80ca85c4d |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 8¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x15f1cb5e026128283da8ab95718e7d48ae6d7e65681674540cb9fe358f41719f |
| Shandong Taishan FC | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-shandon-polymarket-0x11820e64641a61ae7789c65e3ae2f6f7e68192630ef0fabfd50ba5a7852e21ac |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8d6eb4f5d9e21c96b0f4c100d768dcfa9ea0097371df2529c8c2da80fe4a11cc |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xfa1d79e42042a326c79bb4164ff4aaf0f964bfe6fc4195239c680ba8bd478e45 |
| Both Teams to Score | 68¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xb2fdfb8de0743d7ba6a7a5835df26366390bc9537760bbee863cd9faf1fb12fc |
| O/U 1.5 | 87¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x1e5ceb71d2fbe14c5f576121a77a821abdc80bab7e6e28a361e7bcea69b9d94f |
| Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC) | 24¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-draw-sh-polymarket-0xb941d93e57eabd9775d81cd3914a29e1e4596b4b2911ddb2ca767b0169a04244 |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 16¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/chongqing-tonglianglong-fc-vs-henan-fc-more-market-polymarket-0xd9d7201e51a45b7af5b16027d8430b1cc07673b39c379e7387b6b803c660ab4c |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 39 |
| 2026-05-02 | 38 |
| 2026-05-03 | 35 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5) −10pp 26→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC −8pp 30→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) +8pp 23→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) +6pp 23→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC −5pp 41→36¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/henan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=henan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc

## License

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