# Will the high temp in Austin be 70-71° on Apr 21, 2026

> 89° to 90° leads at 42%, runner-up 24% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/highaus
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:20:25.934Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: 89° to 90° at 42%
- Runner-up: 87° to 88° at 24%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89° to 90° | 42¢ | +13pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-austin-be-89-90-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxhighaus-26may09-b89.5 |
| 87° to 88° | 24¢ | −4pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-austin-be-87-88-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxhighaus-26may09-b87.5 |
| 91° or above | 23¢ | +2pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-austin-be-90-on-may-9-2026-9-kalshi-kxhighaus-26may09-t90 |
| 85° to 86° | 5¢ | −8pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-austin-be-85-86-on-may-9-202-kalshi-kxhighaus-26may09-b85.5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 89° to 90° | 87° to 88° | 91° or above |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | 25 | 36 | 17 |
| 2026-05-09 | 38 | 32 | 19 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · 89° to 90° +13pp 25→38¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · 85° to 86° −8pp 13→5¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-09 · 87° to 88° −4pp 36→32¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/highaus
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=highaus

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.