# Will the high temp in Miami be 75-76° on Apr 21, 2026

> 83° to 84° leads at 50%, runner-up 36% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/highmia
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:21:01.186Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Leader: 83° to 84° at 50%
- Runner-up: 81° to 82° at 36%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $55K

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83° to 84° | 50¢ | +12pp | $14K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-miami-be-83-84-on-may-3-2026-kalshi-kxhighmia-26may03-b83.5 |
| 81° to 82° | 36¢ | −12pp | $15K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-miami-be-81-82-on-may-3-2026-kalshi-kxhighmia-26may03-b81.5 |
| 79° to 80° | 10¢ | −7pp | $17K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-miami-be-79-80-on-may-3-2026-kalshi-kxhighmia-26may03-b79.5 |
| 85° to 86° | 3¢ | +11pp | $9K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-high-temp-in-miami-be-85-86-on-may-3-2026-kalshi-kxhighmia-26may03-b85.5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 83° to 84° | 81° to 82° | 79° to 80° |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 29 | 31 | 13 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 | 19 | 6 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · 81° to 82° −12pp 31→19¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · 83° to 84° +12pp 29→41¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · 85° to 86° +11pp 14→25¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · 79° to 80° −7pp 13→6¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/highmia
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=highmia

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.