# Will the heating oil close price be above 2.749 USD/Gal on Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT

> Closed. Last odds frozen 10 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hoilw
Updated: 2026-05-28T16:20:13.154Z
Category: markets
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-29

## Headline

- Probability: 3% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Kalshi (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $513

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $104.99 | 3¢ | −2pp | $513 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-brent-crude-oil-close-price-be-above-1049-kalshi-kxbrentmon-26may2917-t104.99 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 35 |
| 2026-05-25 | 19 |
| 2026-05-28 | 5 |

_20 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hoilw
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=hoilw

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.