# Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro - More Markets: AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5)

> O/U 1.5 leads at 69%, runner-up 56% across 12 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-more
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:50:23.480Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 69%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 56%
- Outcomes: 12 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 69¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x2e6bb7cb8f323d978a8fadf561c1496a0f6d8298d2c6efa5321b54bee0705304 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x3d911221648823c1087df22eb6d2d5fc2ee0ef213d51afeb1b4193a777432eaf |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x12cb79b9213eccdd8f35d1135073dd17e5e20273e2306aeb96b44cccd091e2fd |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo | 51¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-ho-polymarket-0x138f6b57280ad59d6d75bfceb6ba63aa3cc369d718f275c28f6cb995fb9b2b05 |
| AC Nagano Parceiro | 39¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-ac-polymarket-0x9bd3d86b848be1f15a9812fda9adb892b145019a0737cefda65ecf985ad8a2f1 |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x49ed80a3b9531eea817bc20384d20ac3eae558d647ba1b09354789e33b33fb98 |
| Draw (Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro) | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-dr-polymarket-0xdd765cef72c5da3ca348fa0d7b0ee6f53146c1e310a0bba3ddd4e798385886d6 |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0xcca25a65e8448fbb4aa8c06f0ca6fbf0c7b3cb6060a43dd0414d69b32b1fc845 |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x3db89e322cf7de910df0fae46ada35f0f46cb9d277932a373291b408016c85f4 |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-2.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x50d1b1bda87e6cd16b3ed4f8e35650399bc8f3d463ed3272a8f24db36584dd2f |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-2.5) | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x0f2b3ba75971abcde502d3fa8eeb0dbbbce4901c67fafb3cdf002aa3f5049e2a |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x2d6f526ac4b489f0fa76b549ed100f2a4ef6c42208eb1c75fe4a73494f46eee5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 64 | 50 | 51 |
| 2026-05-03 | 63 | 55 | 54 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · AC Nagano Parceiro −11pp 40→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score +5pp 50→55¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-1.5) +3pp 38→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 51→54¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 65% probability reflects market expectations that AC Nagano Parceiro will score more than 1.5 goals in an upcoming match against Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo. This suggests traders view Nagano as the likely offensive threat, though the runner-up contract at 54% (over 2.5 goals) indicates uncertainty about whether the match will produce a high-scoring result. The probability is driven by recent offensive form, defensive capability assessments, and historical head-to-head patterns between the two J-League clubs. The market confidence remains moderate rather than dominant, suggesting material doubt about whether Nagano can breach the 1.5-goal threshold. Resolution will occur following the final whistle when actual goals scored are tallied.

### Key factors

- AC Nagano Parceiro's recent goal-scoring average compared to their season baseline and opponent-specific performance
- Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo's defensive record, particularly goals conceded per match in recent fixtures
- Betting market liquidity is minimal ($0 24h volume across all contracts), limiting confidence in price discovery
- The gap between 1.5-goal probability (65%) and 2.5-goal probability (54%) suggests marginal pricing for incremental offensive output
- Head-to-head historical scoring patterns and current league standings context for both clubs

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-more
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-more

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