# Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Iwaki FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 41% across 20 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-iwaki-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:35:51.166Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 41% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Iwaki FC) | 34¢ | ±0 | $3 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-draw-rb-miya-ardija-vs-polymarket-0x781d0d2c57f61021bbc42af9936438334bd8b67fcbc60fef713b051f09adb52e |
| Draw (Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. AC Nagano Parceiro) | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-dr-polymarket-0xdd765cef72c5da3ca348fa0d7b0ee6f53146c1e310a0bba3ddd4e798385886d6 |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-1.5) | 33¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0xcca25a65e8448fbb4aa8c06f0ca6fbf0c7b3cb6060a43dd0414d69b32b1fc845 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x3d911221648823c1087df22eb6d2d5fc2ee0ef213d51afeb1b4193a777432eaf |
| AC Nagano Parceiro | 37¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-ac-polymarket-0x9bd3d86b848be1f15a9812fda9adb892b145019a0737cefda65ecf985ad8a2f1 |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x3db89e322cf7de910df0fae46ada35f0f46cb9d277932a373291b408016c85f4 |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-2.5) | 32¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x50d1b1bda87e6cd16b3ed4f8e35650399bc8f3d463ed3272a8f24db36584dd2f |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (-2.5) | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x0f2b3ba75971abcde502d3fa8eeb0dbbbce4901c67fafb3cdf002aa3f5049e2a |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x2e6bb7cb8f323d978a8fadf561c1496a0f6d8298d2c6efa5321b54bee0705304 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x12cb79b9213eccdd8f35d1135073dd17e5e20273e2306aeb96b44cccd091e2fd |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x49ed80a3b9531eea817bc20384d20ac3eae558d647ba1b09354789e33b33fb98 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-mo-polymarket-0x2d6f526ac4b489f0fa76b549ed100f2a4ef6c42208eb1c75fe4a73494f46eee5 |
| Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo | 51¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-ac-nagano-parceiro-ho-polymarket-0x138f6b57280ad59d6d75bfceb6ba63aa3cc369d718f275c28f6cb995fb9b2b05 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xfacf329d071c71c0e621aed92f7ea6d51f4dbb6808a0c19a37af16394b50cc9f |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2195c5941536ecd4f1e6519856fc7eda857cc66864574a9f6c796a0fa6c848b0 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x728f8967cf1e0065a59bf43f57b413130be54ee94dc766ada39d7a51d48d870a |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5) | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0x8e56ccaf10780991a1cbf8bc446de44108e0b51ec36cca756c652d3564307711 |
| Iwaki FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-2-polymarket-0x129775c572f0cf62732652b37b7a8fec962593b42b7d26e0ac29ef648cf5a1cd |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x0f34a8315d776c3b376c264aee10351756fca5d7c1f06a873e29573e143d10f8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xbb1f4e3c06abdaa9d6894e713107909cf902aab12c5482f14d1ba3112844b486 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 43 |
| 2026-05-03 | 43 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · AC Nagano Parceiro −11pp 40→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Both Teams to Score +5pp 50→55¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · AC Nagano Parceiro (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo (-1.5) +3pp 38→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 51→54¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-iwaki-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=hokkaid-consadole-sapporo-vs-iwaki-fc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.