# Houston Dash vs. North Carolina Courage - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 4 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/houston-dash-vs-north-carolina-courage-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:22.171Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 42% / Polymarket 39% — 3pp spread
- 24h volume: $5K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 41¢ | +2pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/north-carolina-vs-virginia-winner-virginia-kalshi-kxncaamlaxgame-26may03nctvir-vir |
| North Carolina | 7¢ | −2pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/will-north-carolina-win-the-college-baseball-world-kalshi-kxncaabaseball-26-unc |
| North Carolina | 60¢ | +5pp | $525 | kalshi | /markets/north-carolina-vs-virginia-winner-north-carolina-kalshi-kxncaamlaxgame-26may03nctvir-nct |
| Republicans, 1+ pts | 11¢ | −2pp | $75 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsenr-p1 |
| Yes | 64¢ | ±0 | $23 | kalshi | /markets/will-democrats-win-the-2026-senate-elections-in-ge-kalshi-kxdemcorefoursenatesweep-26nov03 |
| Democrats, 9+ pts | 51¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p9 |
| Democratic party | 60¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-democratics-win-the-senate-race-in-north-caro-kalshi-senatenc-28-d |
| Democrats, 11+ pts | 43¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p11 |
| O/U 4.5 | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x7cba402e94b8870fd608e89f5fdf2f832845ef5885df47b5cac5d5a91239e09c |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x2113bb5e5a92ffd7d2c6b247b26b27bf5b1d6e2b4411c8048c2784b17e8291c8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x5ccc927fe7b07e0b831cab39a66cea2abcb04c57eaceeaa4d561121610d6b5d5 |
| Houston Dash | 32¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-houston-dash-polymarket-0x2b093a1179b742f0708b088013f44ad8f4b4b29c0afb0e0f4fb51c03f938f9df |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xb3384bb9e2b591a387952ec443baf4fdfb95bfbc253a77346773f877213cc235 |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x64e23551c3b7c2b0fc471f10adce0786edda6c5d7ff38b538fdf7a009e90d0d8 |
| Utah Royals FC (-1.5) | 31¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-utah-r-polymarket-0x920c4445fb7431cc5fd9fb172554e65f5e50ca907273a761341c9f8f40202e0b |
| Houston Dash (-2.5) | 38¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-housto-polymarket-0xc755063c737305c20cd1897a8e0458f6334f6e9107fd8a0ab3f245bed74d5e09 |
| Utah Royals FC | 43¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-utah-royals-fc-polymarket-0x36ed0b75c0523bbdd1f2c7cb97ea1b81aed9df6a7489e17c7aa4b2e23c855624 |
| Houston Dash (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-housto-polymarket-0x048577e1f861477a22cc0d1ea125097c77bdcc8b0574e3fcbd32cf15285a0f9a |
| Draw (Utah Royals FC vs. Houston Dash) | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-draw-utah-royals-fc-polymarket-0x04af29252ab95dd80a4c1bbb4dbfb7b5f8e1d27f7cd1125254b29eca23a9de3e |
| Utah Royals FC (-2.5) | 27¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-utah-r-polymarket-0x480bdae8d6417db8f562b0ba1a314aae214041e87d931a20d9df2122bea37034 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 62 |
| 2026-04-18 | 31 |
| 2026-04-26 | 37 |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 |

_23 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Democrats, 9+ pts +8pp 46→54¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · North Carolina +5pp 55→60¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Democrats, 11+ pts +5pp 35→40¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Democrats, 11+ pts +4pp 40→44¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Houston Dash (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/houston-dash-vs-north-carolina-courage-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=houston-dash-vs-north-carolina-courage-more-markets

## License

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