# Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids SC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 41% across 19 contracts — refreshed 47 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/houston-dynamo-vs-colorado-rapids-sc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T10:35:48.009Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 41% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 23% / Polymarket 42% — 19pp spread
- 24h volume: $1K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?: Yes | 23¢ | −1pp | $545 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-number-of-unemployment-rate-exceeds-10-mo-kalshi-kxcitrini-28jul01 |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 51¢ | ±0 | $118 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | +3pp | $51 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −2pp | $50 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x2226aaa7d772c031bca563f44f9b6bda8f4a893e723c20efeb17d0e4f434408f |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 31¢ | −1pp | $35 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | ±0 | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x958037183bbbe9c19389945a89a0123d13bd75f0cbc4bf48a9c88a4f8669d5e6 |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | −2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/gimcheon-sangmu-fc-vs-ulsan-hd-fc-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xc2ca5022ecefa00d5fdb377dcf1eba34cb1973d86b75b22e40122dd29ca651b6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | +2pp | $25 | polymarket | /markets/bucheon-fc-1995-vs-jeju-sk-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c |
| Utah Royals FC (-2.5) | 27¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-utah-r-polymarket-0x480bdae8d6417db8f562b0ba1a314aae214041e87d931a20d9df2122bea37034 |
| Utah Royals FC (-1.5) | 32¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-utah-r-polymarket-0x920c4445fb7431cc5fd9fb172554e65f5e50ca907273a761341c9f8f40202e0b |
| O/U 2.5 | 54¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x64e23551c3b7c2b0fc471f10adce0786edda6c5d7ff38b538fdf7a009e90d0d8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x5ccc927fe7b07e0b831cab39a66cea2abcb04c57eaceeaa4d561121610d6b5d5 |
| Houston Dash (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-housto-polymarket-0x048577e1f861477a22cc0d1ea125097c77bdcc8b0574e3fcbd32cf15285a0f9a |
| O/U 1.5 | 61¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xb3384bb9e2b591a387952ec443baf4fdfb95bfbc253a77346773f877213cc235 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x2113bb5e5a92ffd7d2c6b247b26b27bf5b1d6e2b4411c8048c2784b17e8291c8 |
| Houston Dash (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-housto-polymarket-0xc755063c737305c20cd1897a8e0458f6334f6e9107fd8a0ab3f245bed74d5e09 |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/utah-royals-fc-vs-houston-dash-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x7cba402e94b8870fd608e89f5fdf2f832845ef5885df47b5cac5d5a91239e09c |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 25 |
| 2026-04-19 | 24 |
| 2026-04-27 | 24 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_18 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −12pp 53→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Houston Dash (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Houston Dash (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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