# How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year — 6

> 2 leads at 25%, runner-up 24% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 6 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/how-many-more-people-leave-trump-cabinet
Updated: 2026-05-28T22:20:09.549Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Leader: 2 at 25%
- Runner-up: 4 at 24%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x818e1ab9392cd16406606e80c05bfab903becc2c157cd5ca7182b739458608ff |
| 4 | 24¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x7995262bab9f4ccf47257aafeed9f099557cf9cc8a702696600168999963b535 |
| 1 | 23¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x42a0273910990b52287c46fdff42f9e69fd10fa2ce96b1d6f0c5cb75683a69d1 |
| 7+ | 22¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x384cab27e0f54354fac44a08f46c6917b3ea9d3a144e7b8d9a31662157802c16 |
| 6 | 21¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x429f3108675910c476dfb895d58e9743fb9c457c79e39bb1154693fb917a8215 |
| 3 | 20¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x093d6acccf4b65a115616df710e9e68c4bd9cc823c63bd0d551a99c2c3e678c8 |
| 5 | 18¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x0654d68df3087e45626e85f147e4eefdcbde112a310f9fa7fbc60f4e005f20fa |
| 0 | 7¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-more-people-leave-the-trump-cabinet-this-polymarket-0x127ed040940dc7d8bbcc3b89d8b3d833325dd4aaa1d8a3d3651bb856ab4c9262 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 2 | 4 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | — | 19 | 27 |
| 2026-05-18 | 22 | 18 | — |
| 2026-05-21 | 22 | 20 | 25 |
| 2026-05-27 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 2026-05-28 | 25 | 21 | — |

_12 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-27 · 4 +7pp 14→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-27 · 7+ +4pp 18→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-28 · 5 +3pp 17→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-26 · 4 −3pp 17→14¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-24 · 2 +3pp 21→24¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/how-many-more-people-leave-trump-cabinet
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=how-many-more-people-leave-trump-cabinet
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.