# How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200 — 1

> 4+ leads at 66%, runner-up 22% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 59 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/how-many-weeks-iceman-no1-billboard-200
Updated: 2026-05-28T21:20:07.414Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-07-31

## Headline

- Leader: 4+ at 66%
- Runner-up: 3 at 22%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $990

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 66¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-weeks-will-iceman-be-no1-on-the-billboard-polymarket-0x04e6c15f41c52efc6b9c003f96f23437b6ad5f0ca93407d467b49383cd20d2b9 |
| 3 | 22¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-weeks-will-iceman-be-no1-on-the-billboard-polymarket-0x78e2751b90f4a3e878242df8c26f7243782c5b7b01e3006c92c17874635b95bf |
| 2 | 4¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-weeks-will-iceman-be-no1-on-the-billboard-polymarket-0xbdd246a0b2283a963b946a1272db382e508ada8bb8d454b7839006d587a7d48a |
| 1 | 3¢ | −2pp | $990 | polymarket | /markets/how-many-weeks-will-iceman-be-no1-on-the-billboard-polymarket-0x980cd972572ab0fd9d9ec1836da082ed98be2cb6c69ec54c7402561effbdaae6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 4+ | 3 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 32 | 22 | 24 |
| 2026-05-21 | 58 | 24 | 17 |
| 2026-05-28 | 60 | 24 | 5 |

_12 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-27 · 3 −19pp 39→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-21 · 4+ +17pp 41→58¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-27 · 4+ +17pp 50→67¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-22 · 3 +10pp 24→34¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-26 · 2 −9pp 14→5¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=how-many-weeks-iceman-no1-billboard-200

## License

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