# Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC - More Markets

> Kansas City leads at 34%, runner-up 13% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hull-city-afc-vs-norwich-city-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-06-25T20:20:49.236Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-02-22

## Headline

- Leader: Kansas City at 34%
- Runner-up: Kansas City at 13%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $962

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City | 34¢ | ±0 | $888 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-west-div-kalshi-kxnflafcwest-27-kc |
| Kansas City | 13¢ | — | $74 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-champion-kalshi-kxnflafcchamp-27-kc |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | 31 |
| 2026-06-10 | 33 |
| 2026-06-19 | 33 |

_9 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This 34% probability reflects market expectations that Kansas City wins the AFC West division in the 2026 NFL season. The Chiefs' probability is anchored by their recent divisional success and roster strength, balanced against competition from other AFC West teams like the Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos. The probability would move higher if Kansas City demonstrates strong performance in preseason or early regular-season games, and lower if key injuries or roster changes affect their competitive standing. The main uncertainty resolver is the NFL regular season itself, which runs from September 2026 through January 2027, with the division winner determined by playoff seeding in early January. Trading volume remains modest, suggesting limited market interest in this specific contract compared to broader championship markets.

### Key factors

- Kansas City's recent AFC West dominance (won division in multiple recent seasons) provides a baseline expectation but faces competition from division rivals with comparable roster investments
- The 34% price implies Kansas City is favored but not heavily—competitors retain meaningful probability mass, suggesting genuine competitive uncertainty in the division
- Preseason performance and injury reports from July-August 2026 will likely shift this probability as teams' actual game-day rosters become clear
- The contract's low 24-hour volume ($132) indicates minimal recent trading activity, meaning the price may reflect older information rather than current market consensus
- Division winners are determined by regular-season win-loss records (September 2026-January 2027), making strength-of-schedule and head-to-head matchups material factors

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hull-city-afc-vs-norwich-city-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=hull-city-afc-vs-norwich-city-fc-more-markets

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