# HYPE price on Apr 26, 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 39% across 19 contracts — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hype
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:35:52.169Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 39% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 47% / Polymarket 34% — 13pp spread
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 20 | 25¢ | −3pp | $710 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-20-polymarket-0xa4cab194f7487ecbe058aa8278a45a51487afe828af6c3c2eed5b096639c23e9 |
| ↓ 16 | 13¢ | −8pp | $532 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-16-polymarket-0x8555a03570e1eb69c94ab5d41796058d8fcb9e909a6464e6cec9ff85d199b7bf |
| ↑ 100 | 16¢ | −2pp | $307 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-100-polymarket-0xeae133a71045c94ab57717d3f4aab62758e2a915a27f9606e383024975264467 |
| ↑ 54 | 57¢ | +17pp | $132 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-54-polymarket-0x08aa311914849c68c99adef467d1bed03ba7d68eab997c7d53e0c2661903301b |
| above 0% | 9¢ | +4pp | $88 | kalshi | /markets/will-egg-prices-rise-by-more-than-0-in-apr-2026-ab-kalshi-kxeggs-apr26-0 |
| ↑ 70 | 28¢ | −2pp | $65 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-70-polymarket-0xcd9228e46e7ace46a2e18396932cb2f6336725d8d83877b51f95e1be9c5bdf8e |
| ↑ 66 | 19¢ | −13pp | $60 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-66-polymarket-0xda041e02c4a9a6d935a85c0c81663a20561859e4de0d3f53a29864b4eb577e27 |
| Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 304.0ㅤ?: Above 304.0ㅤ | 61¢ | +14pp | $59 | kalshi | /markets/will-consumer-price-index-for-all-urban-consumers-kalshi-kxairfarecpi-26may12-t304.0 |
| ↑ 62 | 28¢ | +2pp | $24 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-62-polymarket-0xc53e5d334fd60c52660ae22981a5e8e2c63f0fb1c9d5a94b6b766fee1a4aef22 |
| ↑ 50 | 73¢ | ±0 | $13 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-50-polymarket-0xfd2bdf9324af684d6d596c79606f876ef526a9226575ec3b9dcc73712637e00e |
| Above 4.0% | 65¢ | −22pp | $6 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t4.0 |
| ↑ 80 | 22¢ | ±0 | $5 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-80-polymarket-0xc2b3271feb6086186483f74883b31cf018996505827f4a23a1cc86ef03c5d9c4 |
| ↓ 12 | 8¢ | −19pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-12-polymarket-0x8f9956410b9b8ef4c112ea03800920bc445deff855d57fb156c9ab9b56aecc8a |
| Above 5.0% | 3¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t5.0 |
| Above 4.2% | 53¢ | +24pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t4.2 |
| Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 288.0ㅤ?: Above 288.0ㅤ | 95¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-consumer-price-index-for-all-urban-consumers-kalshi-kxairfarecpi-26may12-t288.0 |
| ↑ 46 | 83¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-46-polymarket-0x2ccd47539b5208bfb93b00461dec25dfa4739bbff2f87ebd44dcaec19a323845 |
| Above 3.6% | 78¢ | −25pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t3.6 |
| Above 4.8% | 9¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-united-states-producer-price-index-for-fi-kalshi-kxusppiyoy-26may13-t4.8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 42 |
| 2026-04-19 | 42 |
| 2026-04-26 | 44 |
| 2026-05-03 | 48 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · Above 4.2% −26pp 56→30¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Above 3.6% −25pp 80→55¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Above 4.2% +24pp 30→54¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Above 4.0% −22pp 68→46¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · ↓ 16 +19pp 19→38¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/hype
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=hype

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.