# Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK

> Closed. Last odds frozen 4 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ikta-jk-vs-fatih-karagmrk-sk
Updated: 2026-05-04T09:20:24.125Z
Category: general
Status: historical

## Headline

- Probability: 49% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $18K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REBORN | 57¢ | +1pp | $10K | kalshi | /markets/will-reborn-win-the-reborn-vs-beikta-esports-valor-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26may031030rbnbjk-rbn |
| Beşiktaş Esports | 41¢ | −1pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/will-beikta-esports-win-the-reborn-vs-beikta-espor-kalshi-kxvalorantgame-26may031030rbnbjk-bjk |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 48 |
| 2026-05-01 | 41 |
| 2026-05-02 | 47 |
| 2026-05-03 | 47 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-01 · REBORN −9pp 61→52¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · REBORN +7pp 52→59¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Beşiktaş Esports −4pp 34→30¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Beşiktaş Esports +4pp 30→34¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ikta-jk-vs-fatih-karagmrk-sk
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ikta-jk-vs-fatih-karagmrk-sk

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.