# Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 20 contracts — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/incheon-united-fc-vs-gangwon-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:06.056Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $681

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 48¢ | +1pp | $298 | polymarket | /markets/united-states-vs-paraguay-united-states-polymarket-0x26c10c27cde58e2d6214d65ab562d8142d34723b3b6ec3f40836d24f6d22dfc9 |
| Incheon United FC | 28¢ | −4pp | $253 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-inche-polymarket-0x10cbc272a36c8985d46640eaedb6a58c32cd54479bf4fc87e8d45f07774077dd |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC | 43¢ | +1pp | $90 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-daeje-polymarket-0x76a37b690aecd81c24c5bf469243f7175236ac231ad8298c834611ede69b687c |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| Draw (United States vs. Paraguay) | 27¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/united-states-vs-paraguay-draw-united-states-vs-pa-polymarket-0x3774cdf17e49143a4f6e10812df8b06113731493842fccc52dea045a1744ae61 |
| O/U 1.5 | 71¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x322393ed3e69e093252f1d2d448d2437540e6b1adfcbba7381082b41ea6fb00a |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x110c5499e5eb45c4d9f51cc64d1dc6d65de41a7878946b7cf2bd3b2461e9a329 |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5) | 7¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x2db8baa05da287c57b226a6d3eb3c82412114a42a505d36b94afe097e7602d23 |
| Draw (Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Incheon United FC) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-draw-polymarket-0x747211b11adb14e16471c8c62c23291c3bae76c3c903d1a710706ff49776dabc |
| Incheon United FC (-1.5) | 9¢ | +8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x8d81ee07e25f05febdfe0dcf9590bd9ec703e6babeb8f532e9ef0d3728d6e872 |
| O/U 4.5 | 9¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x73881eed654b4929511b52a3f86f85b660b193defce0ea008ff79d3bdc18c695 |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x1b4942c83673aa6671e57001745f1c23cd67edd43b92ce4cd663f334e9fdebf9 |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x14ce80ab43fc74748399bc950d32c9547836ce7f976d75f84c9f47cbf664b44a |
| Fujieda MYFC (-1.5) | 30¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-f-polymarket-0xb2f97dd54209caf84e171256fe5d32ab62b45132bd16e70400225d48f8cc27c2 |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/gangwon-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets-ou-2-polymarket-0x39eae113869c1417d45063c370cc1a1de6cf6959b55b185ab24de3da4206cc7b |
| O/U 2.5 | 50¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x799b4127a82931bf9daf48211943e47b260b95de63fb22de6bed85cd69a0e88e |
| O/U 4.5 | 31¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x2274e1938e218342db6bad0b9705832113b19ae38704593b94d6c15ae222b6f2 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-imabari-vs-kchi-united-sc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xa5ce223bf8232c5c2f8d4aae04ac65431b401310234dea268d56354b4bec337e |
| Fukushima United FC | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-fukushima-unit-polymarket-0x19ecdc51afb427b5b6d277bfec4aa09a62e3060e8eeba72263f639b2485d09ff |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 48 |
| 2026-05-01 | 40 |
| 2026-05-02 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | 33 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-1.5) −18pp 35→17¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5) −14pp 34→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Incheon United FC (-1.5) +8pp 17→25¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −7pp 52→45¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/incheon-united-fc-vs-gangwon-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=incheon-united-fc-vs-gangwon-fc

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.