# Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 65%, runner-up 52% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 4 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:42.625Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-12

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 65%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 52%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xc23b6bb8709896b5b74c6b39768b9f1cb7a71d532b6eeb1e1c30f84742993c92 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x15af2df92d9448e8680aca38b70d4bf186fbc3a41c0427f19d6f776e110d0410 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xa08a39bdfbe19056db0a45cb3449b062b7f0614442b5aa05a94ec66e8df09769 |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xeb90c885792e2fe854cb685eba7974008ec4981d6a97124407ecc7cf84de65bf |
| Incheon United FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xcb6f15a658d68c9d13c2d29c78f6515ff511b06b26ce8d7e883623f3473722c6 |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) | 30¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x60b12abb0965e5d18d4f22190e226139e1ed486d31c34ebc600eef911223dcf7 |
| Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5) | 30¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xce33f4a7ffe2ab245587fedc668d408db84ea1f8ac0054e804ca0901347bbf91 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x3dbe2891e2e14cae52f78fce268be15590e3e497ebeec0683c305eb206577d34 |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 26¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xe9811871cd647f7de943c4e8751e48ffbf9c781074fc6f40d5616c23b5daaca2 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | Incheon United FC (-1.5) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | — | 50 | 35 |
| 2026-05-08 | 63 | 50 | 33 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5) −3pp 32→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) +3pp 25→28¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market estimates a 50% probability that both Incheon United FC and Pohang Steelers FC score at least one goal each in their matchup. The contract pricing reflects moderate uncertainty about offensive performance from both teams, with the runner-up outcome (Incheon United at -1.5 goals) priced at 33%, suggesting traders view Incheon as slight favorites defensively. The outcome depends on team form, defensive vulnerabilities, and tactical approach—factors that typically shift with recent match results, injury status, and head-to-head history. The resolution occurs after the match concludes, making recent offensive and defensive statistics from both squads the primary drivers of current pricing. Thin trading volume ($0 over 24 hours) indicates limited market liquidity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads, which may not reflect the true consensus among frequent bettors.

### Key factors

- Incheon United and Pohang Steelers' combined expected goals (xG) in their last 3-5 matches relative to their season averages
- Defensive records: goals conceded per match for each team and whether key defenders or goalkeepers are unavailable
- Head-to-head scoring patterns in previous meetings between these two clubs
- Current league position and offensive output trends for both teams in the weeks leading up to match day
- Match venue (home/away split) and any tactical adjustments either team has recently implemented

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=incheon-united-fc-vs-pohang-steelers-fc-more-markets

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