# Independiente Medellín vs. Fortaleza CEIF

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 30% across 20 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/independiente-medelln-vs-fortaleza-ceif
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:49.192Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 30% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $10

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense FC | 36¢ | — | $10 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-flumin-polymarket-0xdf1c5669cd4279748bdc30257101e9e3ece4843fa303d0bc177f6b82e91fde24 |
| Draw (Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo) | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-medelln-vs-cr-flamengo-draw-independ-polymarket-0x072fcc10b78a87fb7d5030adf5db04c11c77840071f80dc26b93f7b750071671 |
| Independiente Medellín | 27¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-medelln-vs-cr-flamengo-independiente-polymarket-0xd1068fa863575b92e0d8a9e1bb94b6eda550cc66b874ef1dd17b0021219b937b |
| CR Flamengo | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-medelln-vs-cr-flamengo-cr-flamengo-polymarket-0x8bc1be0895dddefad2099032d9255abc968496aa60c57a22b2a420d4f09bb408 |
| O/U 3.5 | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x8b09a61747807aac72d01b9c57762c496de365271792470e7f0828c65206fc9e |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd92e3c6facd7cfe3772dc6c05c64835117ff536547aa381a46e39188f1b328a1 |
| Fluminense FC (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xff496f3de17ada028aa13a378c1749532a6b538409094f56ea1734e14ce81114 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x71f745c092060c8f80e06e6bed5141039827ad2a3fb79dfbb6322455bd9b44e7 |
| O/U 2.5 | 43¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x7353429eea6a19c8f51656bb2b78b9febb4e23463eb4f3115e62e575cf46ad9d |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x5735da3e7d2a090ad05c030f77efb55ebc2288982ec45be75358f0e57d648821 |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd128a438d67165805df816880348c9da14f4a48c449293d0a25e97f0e23233d7 |
| O/U 2.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x96cfcd71ed45e08b312ba37155767a1409aa65d9265dd47e691650b966761513 |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x65835d9cb539cf33b6489619365554af29a588a1cee0ddd74e727d6981c3d417 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x13712fed686d2b8c9fb4a3cfb1024a67967a412094efa5871638bff56c6025b6 |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) | 9¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x559461c25f175b01a1cbf6e4b72940b22f539eaf75dd59ecaca75722a2fd3557 |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x4fe6145be9c1a8444114672c2bbfc3eea1f40e63269229c5a134c0a62b097662 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x9ff78c27fda30e5b9dbe59ba5899c2dd5001db91eb9f6991bba3e152776590df |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/universidad-central-de-venezuela-fc-vs-independien-polymarket-0x379684abeac1f75e84192a96d0f4b9ab5f5fa1231c2577c7062e90c6c5b8337b |
| O/U 4.5 | 13¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xb4cd80e3412a2737eb14d990736e8d6adfad75e6aac6bd32eeecb8864b8104dc |
| O/U 1.5 | 68¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xd8a7d5d547100b2270933248df7428d9017f6b931f9308bed03ab382d22b4976 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 35 |
| 2026-05-03 | 28 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/independiente-medelln-vs-fortaleza-ceif
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=independiente-medelln-vs-fortaleza-ceif

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.