# Independiente Santa Fe vs. CD La Equidad Seguros - More Markets: CD La Equidad Seguros (-1.5)

> Closed. Last odds frozen 2 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/independiente-santa-fe-vs-cd-la-equidad-seguros-more
Updated: 2026-05-07T00:35:50.121Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Probability: 25% (liquidity-weighted across 18 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (18 contracts)
- 24h volume: $67K

## Bound contracts (18)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 42¢ | −20pp | $54K | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x7353429eea6a19c8f51656bb2b78b9febb4e23463eb4f3115e62e575cf46ad9d |
| SC Corinthians Paulista | 39¢ | −18pp | $5K | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xb8cbcacec9cc7c9317ec00f09148ab9c3d7a75182d1bddaf7c11a901f90b69e4 |
| O/U 1.5 | 60¢ | −17pp | $3K | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x5735da3e7d2a090ad05c030f77efb55ebc2288982ec45be75358f0e57d648821 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −17pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x9ff78c27fda30e5b9dbe59ba5899c2dd5001db91eb9f6991bba3e152776590df |
| O/U 1.5 | 68¢ | −24pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xd8a7d5d547100b2270933248df7428d9017f6b931f9308bed03ab382d22b4976 |
| O/U 2.5 | 34¢ | −21pp | $925 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x96cfcd71ed45e08b312ba37155767a1409aa65d9265dd47e691650b966761513 |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | −8pp | $552 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x8b09a61747807aac72d01b9c57762c496de365271792470e7f0828c65206fc9e |
| Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5) | 10¢ | −1pp | $502 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x559461c25f175b01a1cbf6e4b72940b22f539eaf75dd59ecaca75722a2fd3557 |
| O/U 4.5 | 6¢ | +4pp | $373 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd128a438d67165805df816880348c9da14f4a48c449293d0a25e97f0e23233d7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 15¢ | −2pp | $239 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x65835d9cb539cf33b6489619365554af29a588a1cee0ddd74e727d6981c3d417 |
| Fluminense FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | +10pp | $154 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xff496f3de17ada028aa13a378c1749532a6b538409094f56ea1734e14ce81114 |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5) | 18¢ | −6pp | $125 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x43d406716ebb5b3949e627516fd9fd8163a81dc7b6dcf2d7c86d8f037121e39b |
| Fluminense FC (-1.5) | 11¢ | −6pp | $123 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x5fff26d17fdf67b340805d5b33198f2874e8301b3e6629c8e8109612edb03c5a |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 4¢ | +10pp | $70 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xd92e3c6facd7cfe3772dc6c05c64835117ff536547aa381a46e39188f1b328a1 |
| CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5) | 5¢ | +3pp | $69 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0x4fe6145be9c1a8444114672c2bbfc3eea1f40e63269229c5a134c0a62b097662 |
| O/U 4.5 | 8¢ | +2pp | $43 | polymarket | /markets/cs-independiente-rivadavia-vs-fluminense-fc-more-m-polymarket-0xb4cd80e3412a2737eb14d990736e8d6adfad75e6aac6bd32eeecb8864b8104dc |
| Both Teams to Score | 42¢ | −13pp | $38 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x13712fed686d2b8c9fb4a3cfb1024a67967a412094efa5871638bff56c6025b6 |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 14¢ | −6pp | $12 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x71f745c092060c8f80e06e6bed5141039827ad2a3fb79dfbb6322455bd9b44e7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 27 |
| 2026-05-06 | 25 |
| 2026-05-07 | 18 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · O/U 1.5 −24pp 67→43¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 2.5 −21pp 35→14¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 2.5 −20pp 40→20¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · SC Corinthians Paulista −18pp 37→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 1.5 −17pp 62→45¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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