# Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista

> SC Corinthians Paulista leads at 38%, runner-up 35% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:55.037Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: SC Corinthians Paulista at 38%
- Runner-up: Independiente Santa Fe at 35%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Corinthians Paulista | 38¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xb8cbcacec9cc7c9317ec00f09148ab9c3d7a75182d1bddaf7c11a901f90b69e4 |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 35¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0xcf1ee37c45e00bddb2f367a12b4577900490644a0edd63e8b41b10f361611f60 |
| Draw (Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista) | 30¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista-polymarket-0x13d4e172345029d05355aac3de341064570a9c04b4554b89d11086a5432206b7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 33 |

_1 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability represents the market's assessment that Independiente Santa Fe will win their match against SC Corinthians Paulista. At 33%, the market currently favors Corinthians, with a 30% probability assigned to a draw. The outcome depends heavily on recent form and head-to-head dynamics between Colombian and Brazilian competition styles. Santa Fe would need to overcome Corinthians' typical advantages in continental play, while the draw scenario reflects genuine uncertainty about tactical matchups. The match itself will resolve this uncertainty through direct competition, with relative team strength, home-field considerations (if applicable), and lineup health being the primary determinants of the final result.

### Key factors

- Independiente Santa Fe's recent performance record and goal-scoring efficiency in their domestic competition
- SC Corinthians Paulista's current form and defensive stability in recent matches
- Historical head-to-head record and performance patterns in similar continental or friendly matchups between Colombian and Brazilian clubs
- Availability of key players and recent injury reports for both squads
- The match venue and any established home-field advantage patterns for either team

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=independiente-santa-fe-vs-sc-corinthians-paulista

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