# Inter Kashi FC vs. North East United FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 5 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/inter-kashi-fc-vs-north-east-united-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:21.712Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 46% / Polymarket 32% — 14pp spread
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | 20¢ | +2pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-a-protest-within-the-united-states-that-draws-kalshi-kxmajorprotest-26may |
| United States | 48¢ | +1pp | $298 | polymarket | /markets/united-states-vs-paraguay-united-states-polymarket-0x26c10c27cde58e2d6214d65ab562d8142d34723b3b6ec3f40836d24f6d22dfc9 |
| Incheon United FC | 29¢ | −4pp | $253 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-inche-polymarket-0x10cbc272a36c8985d46640eaedb6a58c32cd54479bf4fc87e8d45f07774077dd |
| Republicans, 1+ pts | 11¢ | −2pp | $75 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsenr-p1 |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 4¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| Draw (United States vs. Paraguay) | 27¢ | ±0 | $7 | polymarket | /markets/united-states-vs-paraguay-draw-united-states-vs-pa-polymarket-0x3774cdf17e49143a4f6e10812df8b06113731493842fccc52dea045a1744ae61 |
| 5+ wins in a row | 23¢ | +2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-manchester-united-mens-soccer-win-at-least-5-kalshi-kxwinstreakmanu-27-5 |
| Democrats, 9+ pts | 51¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p9 |
| Democrats, 11+ pts | 43¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p11 |
| Republicans, 3+ pts | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsenr-p3 |
| Democrats, 13+ pts | 32¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p13 |
| Democrats, 7+ pts | 61¢ | +7pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p7 |
| Winner: Jilin Northeast Tigers | 41¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/cba-winner-jilin-northeast-tigers-polymarket-0xc48bda64f04798499cb01a06626e4c738caa2c571b4aaa1d949abee093e7b354 |
| Berlin International Gaming | 71¢ | −40pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-berlin-international-gaming-win-map-2-in-the-kalshi-kxlolmap-26may051300usebig-2-big |
| Democrats, 5+ pts | 67¢ | +4pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p5 |
| Democrats, 3+ pts | 76¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p3 |
| Ōita Trinita (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kagoshima-united-fc-vs-ita-trinita-more-markets-it-polymarket-0x88fc7b7ae3b2ecf42ec2828e86c4701f3039aaadb163445ff377480f84be35d4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fujieda-myfc-vs-fukushima-united-fc-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x2c9b2c177c59e71ec645a3e8f9aa0615fe7006817ec471b7ad0c04d9217af16e |
| Democrats, 1+ pts | 83¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-us-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ncsend-p1 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 26 |
| 2026-04-19 | 19 |
| 2026-04-26 | 31 |
| 2026-05-03 | 36 |

_21 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Berlin International Gaming −40pp 44→4¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Democrats, 9+ pts +8pp 46→54¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Democrats, 13+ pts +7pp 26→33¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-01 · Democrats, 7+ pts +7pp 52→59¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/inter-kashi-fc-vs-north-east-united-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=inter-kashi-fc-vs-north-east-united-fc

## License

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