# Internet Access restored in Iran by...

> September 30 leads at 97%, runner-up 96% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 23 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/internet-access-restored-iran
Updated: 2026-05-28T20:20:07.346Z
Category: geopolitics · Topic: iran
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Leader: September 30 at 97%
- Runner-up: December 31 at 96%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $91K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 97¢ | +1pp | $31K | polymarket | /markets/internet-access-restored-in-iran-by-september-30-polymarket-0x8ee699de4568d63c92a334dd9703fbd99ac0f614e5b7ffcc58f09557c86f08cf |
| December 31 | 96¢ | −1pp | $60K | polymarket | /markets/internet-access-restored-in-iran-by-december-31-polymarket-0xf67e9887876cf34d3b930c3c74ba444b77783e3a4b8a3fe5304dd3c2b6d09a22 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | September 30 | December 31 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | 46 | 58 |
| 2026-05-14 | 69 | 75 |
| 2026-05-21 | 56 | 77 |
| 2026-05-28 | 82 | 85 |

_17 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-26 · September 30 +11pp 77→88¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-25 · September 30 +10pp 67→77¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-25 · December 31 +9pp 82→91¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-24 · September 30 +9pp 58→67¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-27 · December 31 −7pp 93→86¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/internet-access-restored-iran
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=internet-access-restored-iran
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/iran

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.