# When will Glean IPO

> Before Jun 1, 2027 leads at 17%, runner-up 16% across 11 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 54 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ipoglean
Updated: 2026-06-28T21:20:51.233Z
Category: markets
Status: active
Closes: 2027-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: Before Jun 1, 2027 at 17%
- Runner-up: Before May 1, 2027 at 16%
- Outcomes: 11 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 17¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-jun-1-2027-kalshi-kxipoglean-27jun01 |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 16¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-may-1-2027-kalshi-kxipoglean-27may01 |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 14¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-apr-1-2027-kalshi-kxipoglean-27apr01 |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 13¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-sep-1-2026-kalshi-kxipoglean-26sep01 |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 12¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-mar-1-2027-kalshi-kxipoglean-27mar01 |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 11¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-aug-1-2026-kalshi-kxipoglean-26aug01 |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 11¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-feb-1-2027-kalshi-kxipoglean-27feb01 |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 9¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-jul-1-2026-kalshi-kxipoglean-26jul01 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-jan-1-2027-kalshi-kxipoglean-27jan01 |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 5¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-nov-1-2026-kalshi-kxipoglean-26nov01 |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 5¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/when-will-glean-ipo-before-dec-1-2026-kalshi-kxipoglean-26dec01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Before Jun 1, 2027 | Before May 1, 2027 | Before Apr 1, 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | — | — | 16 |
| 2026-05-31 | — | 17 | — |
| 2026-06-09 | 18 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | — | — | 15 |
| 2026-06-15 | — | 16 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | 17 | — | — |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This 28% probability reflects market expectations that Glean, an AI-powered enterprise search startup, will complete an initial public offering by a specified date. The current level suggests traders view an IPO as possible but not imminent, balancing Glean's strong market position and funding against typical timelines for private companies to go public. Key drivers include the company's recent funding rounds, current valuation, and broader market conditions for tech IPOs. The probability would rise if Glean files S-1 documents or announces IPO plans; it would fall if the company raises additional private funding, signals preference for staying private, or if market conditions deteriorate. The most significant near-term catalyst would be any official announcement or regulatory filing indicating an IPO timeline. Comparison markets show SpaceX trading at 79% probability before July 2026, while Anthropic's IPO announcement odds sit around 72% by November 2026, suggesting the market views Glean's path to public markets as materially less certain than some peers in the same funding era.

### Key factors

- Glean's funding history and current valuation relative to IPO-ready comparable companies in enterprise AI
- Market appetite for AI software IPOs as measured by recent debuts and performance of comparable public companies
- Any public statements from Glean leadership or investors regarding IPO timing or intentions
- Current macroeconomic conditions and equity market receptivity to software company debuts
- Glean's revenue growth rate and path to profitability relative to historical IPO entry points for enterprise software

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ipoglean
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ipoglean

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.