# Ismaily SC vs. Modern SC - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 22 h ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/ismaily-sc-vs-modern-sc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-08T06:35:30.952Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 66%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 45%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $53

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | −19pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x491b922a9ca612e784c2bc1d6719fdbb5a2e2123c8aa34577c74360e9fdfd453 |
| Both Teams to Score | 45¢ | −20pp | $23 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xe6e231cffb1417ac3ac6244dffaaec031806623e27ca272312dc8e600f256e53 |
| O/U 2.5 | 39¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x3e4cd18c12ca4f8e211f379156f7b2b95a309807f2789c32285453fccfbdc9a0 |
| National Bank of Egypt Club (-1.5) | 23¢ | +8pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x21ed5aba5907f2ff4e00718c5dd36c1a349116f982ae00f4e44f1eafb5d15e0d |
| O/U 3.5 | 17¢ | −4pp | $20 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x3c0f5f3aea6ef7547c858fb365c7b8075f59577d743448941442029191695d9f |
| National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5) | 8¢ | +11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0x5d63d2f688c2e4b13f5e7bd161cd631fb069fdb4b896d52314d980484ec8892c |
| O/U 4.5 | 7¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xfa839bfa80a836a6c296f815ae3fc0ed3b02abdce339d5f2e47ea58744f75bad |
| Ismaily SC (-1.5) | 5¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/national-bank-of-egypt-club-vs-ismaily-sc-more-mar-polymarket-0xaa1d2cf2e3fb0c19ffa4ed284b48d773535b110c5f32aebad7c9f6bab9136cde |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | 61 | 46 | 52 |
| 2026-05-06 | 65 | 45 | 38 |
| 2026-05-07 | 46 | 25 | 27 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Ismaily SC (-1.5) −32pp 37→5¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · National Bank of Egypt Club (-2.5) −30pp 37→7¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 4.5 −27pp 34→7¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Both Teams to Score −20pp 45→25¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · O/U 3.5 −20pp 39→19¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The market is pricing an Ismaily SC victory over Modern SC at 66%, suggesting a clear but not overwhelming favorite in what appears to be a single-match winner-take-all contest. This probability reflects bettors' assessment of relative team strength, form, and match conditions as of May 2026. The elevated favorite odds compared to a 50-50 baseline typically indicate one team has demonstrated superior recent performance, better head-to-head record, or home-field advantage. The resolution will depend on the actual match outcome, which would settle all eight linked contracts simultaneously. Key factors moving this probability would include team injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff, as well as recent performance trends in the lead-up to the fixture. The match itself serves as the single defining catalyst that resolves all uncertainty around this outcome.

### Key factors

- Current 66% price reflects relative strength assessment; a 45% runner-up price indicates meaningful disagreement exists rather than consensus
- Pre-match team news—injuries to key players, suspensions, or formation changes—would directly alter win probability for either side
- Recent head-to-head record and current league standing differential between Ismaily SC and Modern SC determine baseline expectations
- Home vs. away designation and venue conditions historically influence outcome distribution in Egyptian football fixtures
- Actual match result at scheduled kickoff is the sole resolution mechanism for all eight bound contracts, making timing and fixture confirmation critical

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=ismaily-sc-vs-modern-sc-more-markets

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