# Israeli parliament dissolved by...

> July 31 leads at 66%, runner-up 59% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 37 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/israeli-parliament-dissolved
Updated: 2026-05-28T22:20:13.034Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-07-31

## Headline

- Leader: July 31 at 66%
- Runner-up: June 30 at 59%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $7K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31 | 66¢ | −9pp | $488 | polymarket | /markets/israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-polymarket-0xac1721c071b72e556df41a0c0d3c4d3c0baa599d352bbe92bc8450e06e596021 |
| June 30 | 59¢ | +1pp | $6K | polymarket | /markets/israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-june-30-polymarket-0x3f0bc2757babb8bb9971c9f782fe81f9db734c12d84822f1120a90681c991ff8 |
| June 15 | 30¢ | −7pp | $69 | polymarket | /markets/israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-june-15-polymarket-0xdbdcd65ce03b31e1c8444c5813f709dd258b7d90d4d81ae644a0351cd26de2d7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | July 31 | June 30 | June 15 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | — | 15 | — |
| 2026-05-14 | — | 50 | — |
| 2026-05-21 | — | 56 | — |
| 2026-05-25 | 50 | 57 | 42 |
| 2026-05-26 | 59 | 53 | 40 |
| 2026-05-27 | 75 | 57 | 45 |
| 2026-05-28 | 66 | 58 | 38 |

_27 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-27 · July 31 +16pp 59→75¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-26 · July 31 +9pp 50→59¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-28 · July 31 −9pp 75→66¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-28 · June 15 −7pp 45→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-21 · June 30 +5pp 51→56¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/israeli-parliament-dissolved
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=israeli-parliament-dissolved

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.