# Will Indianna Spink win the Popovic vs Spink

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 48% across 2 contracts — refreshed 5 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/itfwmatch
Updated: 2026-05-08T23:05:11.101Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-20

## Headline

- Probability: 48% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W35 Tumkur Semifinal match?: Zeel Desai | 34¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-zeel-desai-win-the-desai-vs-pawlikowska-w35-t-kalshi-kxitfwmatch-26may09despaw-des |
| W35 Tumkur Semifinal match?: Zuzanna Pawlikowska | 61¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-zuzanna-pawlikowska-win-the-desai-vs-pawlikow-kalshi-kxitfwmatch-26may09despaw-paw |

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/itfwmatch
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=itfwmatch

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.