# Iwaki FC vs. FC Gifu

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/iwaki-fc-vs-fc-gifu
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:35:27.469Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $5

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Ōmiya Ardija | 47¢ | ±0 | $5 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-rb-miya-ardija-polymarket-0xa076bae09dc85da4c9c4dc5acf4ecd65494521eb7dec3b307865b59315c82f3d |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-matsum-polymarket-0x17df3fdd9ae468ca339d552365e8b3fcb832dc058c848ee984ec609927e93a78 |
| O/U 1.5 | 68¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x2195c5941536ecd4f1e6519856fc7eda857cc66864574a9f6c796a0fa6c848b0 |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x3a25257752ae203ce7e44aaf9f83b67e7af6cee3a7fff4ce75b267ea89272e6c |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x728f8967cf1e0065a59bf43f57b413130be54ee94dc766ada39d7a51d48d870a |
| FC Gifu (-2.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-fc-gif-polymarket-0x357eb004b00c13faa2a3d4747cdaf5e3560c72bd526a9fd60c94b0b22de95b1a |
| RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5) | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-rb-miya-ar-polymarket-0x8e56ccaf10780991a1cbf8bc446de44108e0b51ec36cca756c652d3564307711 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xe897e50d7baaa8c1d5c4fd529fcb12245c25e1169e9f4b010bcb870b0cb145d0 |
| FC Gifu (-1.5) | 32¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-fc-gif-polymarket-0xc2a30acf8595cda38cdf9ddce26e0d8d591c59ed085c912592d0a8027540e6c8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x99c50343946e8b33ee41d8c1c5162c6cc993dadadb0ffed6ee05f95784386f42 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0x14ea8881e0ff991b7eac70c6ccd9ae80d585a7218622d7c937f1335dcb9ff55f |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC | 36¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-polymarket-0x992a3f1a9f252274f4df1be65647a7e0f96a20114685b4e80df541e7f9623909 |
| Draw (FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC) | 35¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-draw-fc-gifu-vs-mat-polymarket-0x6ff136898939c10a3526f101a09d1d0d920a1d45ee4c0a4e7aff395af71c16a3 |
| Iwaki FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-iwaki-fc-2-polymarket-0x129775c572f0cf62732652b37b7a8fec962593b42b7d26e0ac29ef648cf5a1cd |
| Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5) | 29¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-matsum-polymarket-0x1852d18e0a0dafb61e1e56b56bbf939e15f90a9fda5e851a5b6fd6dee03e1f72 |
| O/U 3.5 | 36¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x0f34a8315d776c3b376c264aee10351756fca5d7c1f06a873e29573e143d10f8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-more-markets-both-teams-polymarket-0xbb1f4e3c06abdaa9d6894e713107909cf902aab12c5482f14d1ba3112844b486 |
| FC Gifu | 43¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-fc-gifu-polymarket-0x55f8ff808e04ba5a3a73dde0691562771bcb3cb8fbe41b84e490bec674e9ccff |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-gifu-vs-matsumoto-yamaga-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x0aa1722974d0d761f7018efffe974ca6abd0209d5e331d478e2af3d9fc3d3ef6 |
| Iwaki FC | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/rb-miya-ardija-vs-iwaki-fc-iwaki-fc-polymarket-0x3cb1b6a8097fd4f3d05c536f8df73d203a33e07447bae2776b92160617b05a45 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Gifu (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Gifu (-1.5) +3pp 39→42¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/iwaki-fc-vs-fc-gifu
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=iwaki-fc-vs-fc-gifu

## License

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