# JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...

> June 30 leads at 36%, runner-up 4% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 42 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran
Updated: 2026-05-28T19:20:07.891Z
Category: geopolitics · Topic: iran
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-30

## Headline

- Leader: June 30 at 36%
- Runner-up: May 31 at 4%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 36¢ | ±0 | $971 | polymarket | /markets/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-june-30-polymarket-0xc45a4c5c01082f8c727add1be91ab92d6c4fb782dddc6ec0e92b7b992fa62202 |
| May 31 | 4¢ | — | $1K | polymarket | /markets/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by-may-31-polymarket-0x0038d821cf7ab3b09bf186336c316028ea001ba3f7d7c7b55aa65d97e41189fd |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | June 30 | May 31 |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | 41 | 5 |
| 2026-05-28 | 41 | — |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/iran

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.