# Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 75%, runner-up 49% across 8 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 9 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:35:49.674Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 75%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 49%
- Outcomes: 8 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (8 contracts)
- 24h volume: $102

## Bound contracts (8)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 75¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x8917c8bd5c8bb68a43be22af0ab69a334d5941038a71179ed46852972fcf3bcb |
| O/U 2.5 | 49¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x8e448c4e1c1bac9a0b584cf6830518bfa51ba6ae017553dcd4c38dd4c306d5bf |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5) | 44¢ | +7pp | $102 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x102dbb9b966b1261856b7ff5796fd9a5b00eefefc23eb4de024ee9cfa0e18783 |
| Both Teams to Score | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xa773da6ac189f8fe44583d729ca508941a97cfdac7d8b156c1e6f67b8d4349ac |
| O/U 3.5 | 27¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xd12dde970e6a963e3f1321f9c4477d7775353c10e980e13b007a718963e34dcd |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5) | 21¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xa885d75b2a174b6b83d00118af84b4d65386aae80b5fc9d89d554765c3b1ae71 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0xb9f94b44f0b79e99e2b3ef7ad2793e0d801dd22350bbe2b56f6dd57c2d7f137d |
| Gwangju FC (-1.5) | 6¢ | −8pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-marke-polymarket-0x6c4d812681552422be5113cae3c1443870b112f3ca6c42ac8ae8f1415a89fbcf |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | — | 53 | 32 |
| 2026-05-02 | 72 | 49 | 39 |
| 2026-05-03 | — | 49 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Gwangju FC (-1.5) −17pp 33→16¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Gwangju FC (-1.5) −8pp 16→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5) +7pp 32→39¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5) −7pp 33→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5) −4pp 26→22¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 44% probability reflects market participants' assessment that Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC will win by 1.5 or more goals against Gwangju FC, with this outcome currently favored over Gwangju winning by 2.5 or more (40% implied). The relative strength of the two teams' recent form, goal-scoring patterns, and head-to-head history are primary drivers of this split. The match itself will resolve the uncertainty when played; movements before kickoff would reflect injury announcements, lineup changes, or shifts in team momentum. Contract pricing fragmentation—with Gwangju's larger spread trading at only 3¢—suggests lower confidence in extreme scorelines, with most probability mass concentrated in narrow outcomes. Trading volume remains modest across these contracts, indicating limited market depth for Korean football matches.

### Key factors

- Jeonbuk's recent league position and goal differential versus Gwangju's defensive record
- Availability of key players on both sides, particularly strikers and injury-prone defenders
- Historical head-to-head scoring patterns between these teams over their last 5-10 matchups
- Home/away advantage (venue location and crowd factor if applicable)
- Market liquidity at 44¢ relative to runner-up pricing suggests moderate confidence rather than overwhelming consensus

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-more-markets

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.