# Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc
Updated: 2026-05-06T06:50:43.415Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-05

## Headline

- Leader: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC at 75%
- Runner-up: Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC) at 18%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC | 75¢ | +9pp | $1K | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-jeonbuk-hy-polymarket-0xdfea5881595ff13bc238878ea35eb124a31b645b67c93eb6fdd3c5371b3f9e90 |
| Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC) | 18¢ | −8pp | $126 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-draw-jeonb-polymarket-0xe6fc3398e9ec7537e5961490cab0bfb5fbea85cf289e8a21c5581b5143832250 |
| Gwangju FC | 8¢ | −18pp | $610 | polymarket | /markets/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc-gwangju-fc-polymarket-0x4fa9628795328fdd9b586dd0e161a81e47cc7d5eb43ea10f9774cf04a9bd6fa1 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC | Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC) | Gwangju FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 54 | 32 | 33 |
| 2026-05-02 | 62 | 27 | 28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 71 | 19 | 10 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Gwangju FC −18pp 28→10¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC +9pp 62→71¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC +8pp 54→62¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Draw (Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC) −8pp 27→19¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Gwangju FC −5pp 33→28¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects an expectation that Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC will win an upcoming match against Gwangju FC, with a 72% probability assigned to a Jeonbuk victory. The high confidence in Jeonbuk likely reflects team-strength metrics, recent form, or home-field advantage, while the 20% probability on a draw suggests the market sees meaningful defensive capability from Gwangju. The main variables shifting this probability would be injury reports, recent league performance, or head-to-head historical records between the clubs. Resolution will occur at the final whistle of the scheduled fixture, when the actual outcome becomes known and betting contracts settle accordingly.

### Key factors

- Relative league standings and season-to-date win/loss records for both clubs as of early May 2026
- Recent form over the past 5–10 matches: win streaks, goals conceded, and offensive output
- Head-to-head historical record and any significant tactical mismatches between the two teams
- Confirmed injury or suspension status of key players for either squad before kickoff
- Home or away designation and any measurable home-field advantage in the K League or similar competitions

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=jeonbuk-hyundai-motors-fc-vs-gwangju-fc

## License

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