# Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...

> Closed. Last odds frozen 5 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jerome-powell-departs-as-fed-chair
Updated: 2026-05-23T19:20:12.520Z
Category: economy · Topic: fed-rate
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-06-30

## Headline

- Probability: 93% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Polymarket (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $5K

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 93¢ | ±0 | $5K | polymarket | /markets/jerome-powell-departs-as-fed-chair-by-may-31-polymarket-0x891506111ddfbd8e9506abd1ee226d89544e75c2c3eebbbdb875347d9a0ffff3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | 99 |
| 2026-05-14 | 100 |
| 2026-05-22 | 100 |

_10 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jerome-powell-departs-as-fed-chair
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=jerome-powell-departs-as-fed-chair
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/fed-rate

## License

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