# Will the Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel Prices

> U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ leads at 52%, runner-up 43% across 10 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 3 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jetfuel
Updated: 2026-05-03T19:20:53.471Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ at 52%
- Runner-up: U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.80ㅤ?: Above 3.80ㅤ at 43%
- Outcomes: 10 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (10 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (10)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ | 52¢ | +9pp | $555 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t4.15 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.80ㅤ?: Above 3.80ㅤ | 43¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t3.80 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.95ㅤ?: Above 3.95ㅤ | 29¢ | +5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t3.95 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.90ㅤ?: Above 3.90ㅤ | 14¢ | −5pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t3.90 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.85ㅤ?: Above 3.85ㅤ | 13¢ | −10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t3.85 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.10ㅤ?: Above 4.10ㅤ | 8¢ | −3pp | $251 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t4.10 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.05ㅤ?: Above 4.05ㅤ | 8¢ | +12pp | $91 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t4.05 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.20ㅤ?: Above 4.20ㅤ | 7¢ | +3pp | $699 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t4.20 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.00ㅤ?: Above 4.00ㅤ | 4¢ | −10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t4.00 |
| U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.25ㅤ?: Above 4.25ㅤ | 3¢ | ±0 | $1 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-kerosene-type-jet-fuel-prices-us-gulf-coa-kalshi-kxjetfuel-26may06-t4.25 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ | U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.80ㅤ?: Above 3.80ㅤ | U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.95ㅤ?: Above 3.95ㅤ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 30 | 78 | 81 |
| 2026-04-30 | 22 | 60 | 32 |
| 2026-05-01 | 32 | 46 | 40 |
| 2026-05-02 | 60 | 44 | 31 |
| 2026-05-03 | 69 | 43 | 36 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-30 · U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.85ㅤ?: Above 3.85ㅤ −53pp 89→36¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.95ㅤ?: Above 3.95ㅤ −49pp 81→32¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 3.90ㅤ?: Above 3.90ㅤ −48pp 87→39¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-30 · U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.00ㅤ?: Above 4.00ㅤ −40pp 74→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · U.S. Gulf Coast weekly average spot price for the week ending May 1, 2026 be above 4.15ㅤ?: Above 4.15ㅤ +28pp 32→60¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jetfuel
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=jetfuel

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.