# Jordan vs. Algeria

> Algeria leads at 60%, runner-up 27% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jordan-vs-algeria
Updated: 2026-05-09T07:20:25.338Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-23

## Headline

- Leader: Algeria at 60%
- Runner-up: Draw (Jordan vs. Algeria) at 27%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeria | 60¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jordan-vs-algeria-algeria-polymarket-0x0d2071920da35396162280a1af346e1f799ed45e019ed43fae0c88dc1ac4b4d6 |
| Draw (Jordan vs. Algeria) | 27¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jordan-vs-algeria-draw-jordan-vs-algeria-polymarket-0x26954c84bed166fa0da034c310e3bd62e7afa32d299314c352bc32eb08e5a210 |
| Jordan | 16¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/jordan-vs-algeria-jordan-polymarket-0xaffbeeaef4c956c9e55932d3384eb7ad02640d6a421f3e749f208cb9047cf982 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Algeria | Draw (Jordan vs. Algeria) | Jordan |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 61 | 28 | — |
| 2026-05-01 | 61 | 28 | 20 |
| 2026-05-02 | 61 | 26 | 18 |
| 2026-05-08 | 61 | 27 | 15 |
| 2026-05-09 | 61 | — | — |

_8 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Jordan +3pp 18→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Jordan −3pp 21→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Jordan −3pp 18→15¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 60% probability indicates market participants currently favor Algeria to win in a matchup against Jordan. This assessment reflects aggregate trading on multiple prediction contracts, where Algeria's contract trades significantly higher than alternatives. The probability is shaped by relative team strength assessments, recent performance records, and any available match-specific information. Movement would likely follow confirmed team lineups, injury announcements, or venue details. The resolution will occur when the match concludes and an official result is recorded, eliminating all remaining uncertainty around the outcome.

### Key factors

- Algeria's contract price (60¢) substantially exceeds Jordan's implied probability (27% based on runner-up positioning), suggesting market confidence in Algeria as the favored outcome
- Trading volume on the Jordan vs. Algeria contract is currently zero over 24 hours, indicating thin liquidity and potential for price movement if significant new information emerges
- The Argentina vs. Algeria contracts show active trading ($273 24h volume) with Argentina trading at 71¢, providing indirect signals about comparative strength assessments across different matchups
- Match-specific variables—team roster availability, recent form, head-to-head history, and scheduling details—remain the primary drivers of probability shifts
- Official match result is the sole resolution mechanism; any delay, postponement, or format change would extend uncertainty and potentially shift market prices

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/jordan-vs-algeria
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=jordan-vs-algeria

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.