# Will at least 3 judges be confirmed in Apr 2026

> At least 1 leads at 21%, runner-up 18% across 4 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/judgecount
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:39.166Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-01

## Headline

- Leader: At least 1 at 21%
- Runner-up: At least 2 at 18%
- Outcomes: 4 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (4 contracts)
- 24h volume: $267

## Bound contracts (4)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 21¢ | −26pp | $237 | kalshi | /markets/will-at-least-1-judges-be-confirmed-in-may-2026-at-kalshi-kxjudgecount-26may-0 |
| At least 2 | 18¢ | ±0 | $23 | kalshi | /markets/will-at-least-2-judges-be-confirmed-in-may-2026-at-kalshi-kxjudgecount-26may-1 |
| At least 3 | 13¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-at-least-3-judges-be-confirmed-in-may-2026-at-kalshi-kxjudgecount-26may-2 |
| At least 5 | 8¢ | — | $7 | kalshi | /markets/will-at-least-5-judges-be-confirmed-in-may-2026-at-kalshi-kxjudgecount-26may-4 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | At least 1 | At least 2 | At least 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 59 | 23 | 17 |
| 2026-05-02 | 69 | 15 | 13 |
| 2026-05-03 | 69 | 18 | — |
| 2026-05-06 | 43 | 20 | 15 |
| 2026-05-07 | — | 19 | 14 |
| 2026-05-08 | — | 19 | 14 |

_6 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · At least 1 −26pp 69→43¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · At least 1 +10pp 59→69¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · At least 2 −8pp 23→15¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · At least 3 −4pp 17→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · At least 2 +3pp 15→18¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/judgecount
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=judgecount

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.