# Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Zweigen Kanazawa - More Markets

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kamatamare-sanuki-vs-zweigen-kanazawa-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-07T06:35:43.886Z
Category: general
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $349

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kataller Toyama | 67¢ | +15pp | $199 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-kataller-toya-polymarket-0x5261c5f1e660386369447ac4038da9e607a77c60bcfc1b51a0266a804e60e1bc |
| O/U 4.5 | 10¢ | −21pp | $88 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbfea6dad5e7ed7b0b2f94653154a92cd2d1048f80c7ce84a2ad55a72533a16fe |
| O/U 1.5 | 78¢ | +11pp | $26 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x487003b2e76ea36e00d19dcba6a1aee382087a80290c4b63b9459cc40c9c01fe |
| O/U 2.5 | 55¢ | −12pp | $17 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xd108598c1ea2939d8259c617ee6673d2e2fed06854c85b27ae25acd6fedf62db |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | −16pp | $14 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x63efb6b309c0e7d7e5b59f8266e8ad812a54926b3184f322adf0dadefd240204 |
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 37¢ | −24pp | $5 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-zweigen-kanazawa-polymarket-0x7cd9702f51fe178be84da70c84495e696bda82966de84635a761f2c2f5c6f2a6 |
| O/U 1.5 | 71¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xd4e73b51b79dca603f7d943b92db42ada44d72adcefe85b414f65f3ac4557c1f |
| Kataller Toyama (-1.5) | 41¢ | −4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa18b4aeaa1b53e7d32e9fb7c48098547da2808cc3e72e8a48824b4fd2cd09f97 |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa9a0068043b8f70080dad1cbc72d232ee9b5278c21d12cbe3171107996419c94 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x09a5713e976a42b51c9992f3c64c2f6854558bba008fbd6efd206d9ee8ff4d01 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5) | 4¢ | −25pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x7056f531d96671721afb19c5a038b9d973f574c79db67cf4d81f5a6b9448f07f |
| Kataller Toyama (-2.5) | 20¢ | −16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa0c83bf391689cbf2fc8d3ad23a5796325c0208db0cd0105f360029a80332708 |
| O/U 3.5 | 23¢ | −16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x6b317dfbc8ea213e69eb04f70b5470bb2b39ea954d3ce3a10214bb69cde4c7ea |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x8eeea8484902d5373d6d10e0a1cc2710d064e06bc320fd7bb91d69843b0a99fe |
| Ehime FC (-2.5) | 5¢ | −22pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ehime-fc-polymarket-0x0e985275c0c2e6966e4be81bce336a8916c86bcc244221638503894d462c4a6f |
| Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5) | 9¢ | −31pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x082d3e01da8d253e5a272d4cd3690c1011213f63ab17c56889157506f1b09b88 |
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5) | 6¢ | −33pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-zweigen-polymarket-0xcc1cd0da1ada9e898f3a6f7c3821a2305017c4f2b0b0d67db686e4136260f8ca |
| Ehime FC (-1.5) | 14¢ | −5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ehime-fc-polymarket-0xc0f88a8a866adf763cd26f3f3fd753cebcb3240d6d84b426cc14c4ec5e0527d9 |
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5) | 17¢ | −26pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-zweigen-polymarket-0x25a76fcb5026c75532955f569156a1110e82877e907a27712027d8ee8ce6ea06 |
| Both Teams to Score | 44¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x881f458b76b6d561d43503c7cd0869a8463961c1787a43e52fbd1a62614fdeb3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 47 |
| 2026-05-02 | 41 |
| 2026-05-03 | 43 |
| 2026-05-06 | 33 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5) −33pp 37→4¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5) −31pp 38→7¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5) −26pp 41→15¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5) −25pp 38→13¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-06 · Zweigen Kanazawa −24pp 48→24¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects a 40% probability that Kamatamare Sanuki will score more goals than Zweigen Kanazawa in an upcoming matchup. The current probability suggests relatively balanced expectations between the two teams, though the sparse trading volume across related contracts indicates limited market participation. Key drivers of this probability include recent goal-scoring performance by each team, head-to-head historical records, and current league standing differentials. The probability would likely shift based on team injuries, lineup announcements, or recent form changes in the days leading to the match. Resolution will occur once the final match result is recorded, determining which team scored more goals during regulation play.

### Key factors

- Recent goal differential: Kamatamare Sanuki's goals per game this season versus Zweigen Kanazawa's defensive record
- Historical head-to-head performance: Outcomes and goal totals from previous meetings between these two clubs
- Current league standings and form: Both teams' recent performance trends and positioning in the J-League division
- Injury status and team news: Availability of key offensive and defensive players before match kickoff
- Market liquidity disparity: The $0 24-hour volume across most related contracts suggests low confidence in the current pricing

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kamatamare-sanuki-vs-zweigen-kanazawa-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kamatamare-sanuki-vs-zweigen-kanazawa-more-markets

## License

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