# Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 20 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-machida-zelvia-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:05:52.148Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $20

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | — | $12 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x59499bef9849261e4b9a1ed19b402cdaad03979d63037448d867f53f325f4dcd |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5) | 6¢ | +3pp | $8 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x91f635f47aac21a126bfa229b83dc8da2b7fb03b89bcf60c832da1e2848161e3 |
| O/U 2.5 | 46¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0020fda47604a2d66ffa8e2f9dfaa9a358f4a179d9375a06adca1a6efb5bfde4 |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x3f4aee4f0bd42c560dbc0bd1ce71f7af824e265312731cf81bb2cbc6191b054d |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x016905fd905ab6ebd041201e664fb909026be7f8d9f37567497caa7e2333b20d |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x9a04eb7c5d4b3411c6443be32b0e6c6584cf135d0c4995fc06f4e35889dcc058 |
| Kashima Antlers (-2.5) | 14¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x6b096c2df5914dbbc26c254de76cb2bc7898d91c9fe76d92fc6bf32a7a673965 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xd385a34c7caf9fbdeb78e6a6a1fbf2a3bb9d25bb3581d7a15f5a72c5cb8717a7 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x2d1ff3b3fa076446bfd24c728f5fe9db7cc136114a04ac3af2700ad1db34fa68 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x317f8e4aa158d4dce5c31be35a3b0448d3b55f1f6059334d10dbcd431518e834 |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x19e3cd31b809bdaf4f5af7fa60b75d8615b7f166168caad3b2956db879248204 |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 14¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xbe04137a61065209207d8e048618cc97dc1587c58ade0a2218ede2adaf8b65c7 |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0810840cd496f74e46af48757e2488c91261f35690040c1d2248f26ca3d55e13 |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) | 28¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xeace316b41b9dae690248b38ddfa3b76f12e3376670c4810d39cc85d331b0b5c |
| O/U 3.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x370751f97151c1dba8a99a75e06a4b64f63102fc30f33f53f88590aa42a2ca9a |
| O/U 1.5 | 77¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x55c4f82164c5327e31ce158ae1f097ead55f59a744f11cef1a7e37c9cad3292a |
| Kashima Antlers (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xe7a530fa7e188edc8caeb8d3e54f96180f11560978d2b034e251dc175cbe9059 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x2f00d8efde341336cc233f5c4175ddbcbe2d4044b1fc9bcc51e9a01bd4892029 |
| FC Machida Zelvia | 54¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-fc-machida-polymarket-0xfadb01e7f045fbe7275e9fa50a8a50a31649704b88049a32a0cb014cb47063e0 |
| Draw (Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock) | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-draw-kashima-polymarket-0x701ae45ef836a011a58e97f75432565c982eabf04e31b4aaa37c9e77492adfa5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 37 |
| 2026-05-02 | 36 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Kashima Antlers (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) +3pp 32→35¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) +3pp 32→35¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

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