# Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock - More Markets: FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5)

> O/U 1.5 leads at 72%, runner-up 58% across 12 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-fc-mito
Updated: 2026-05-03T18:50:49.191Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 72%
- Runner-up: Kashima Antlers at 58%
- Outcomes: 12 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x9a04eb7c5d4b3411c6443be32b0e6c6584cf135d0c4995fc06f4e35889dcc058 |
| Kashima Antlers | 58¢ | ±0 | $2 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-kashima-antl-polymarket-0xda16f5f99ab000e90be082a66bf91d4760d73eea2dac3b46cced139158573b65 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x2f00d8efde341336cc233f5c4175ddbcbe2d4044b1fc9bcc51e9a01bd4892029 |
| O/U 2.5 | 46¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0020fda47604a2d66ffa8e2f9dfaa9a358f4a179d9375a06adca1a6efb5bfde4 |
| Kashima Antlers (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xe7a530fa7e188edc8caeb8d3e54f96180f11560978d2b034e251dc175cbe9059 |
| O/U 3.5 | 25¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x0810840cd496f74e46af48757e2488c91261f35690040c1d2248f26ca3d55e13 |
| Draw (Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock) | 25¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-draw-kashima-polymarket-0x701ae45ef836a011a58e97f75432565c982eabf04e31b4aaa37c9e77492adfa5 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock | 17¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-fc-mito-holl-polymarket-0x7c2edc081c32d05d1211b6e4733f57cf9f4993b2aff68bc1771396191ccb941e |
| Kashima Antlers (-2.5) | 14¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x6b096c2df5914dbbc26c254de76cb2bc7898d91c9fe76d92fc6bf32a7a673965 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-1.5) | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x016905fd905ab6ebd041201e664fb909026be7f8d9f37567497caa7e2333b20d |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0xd385a34c7caf9fbdeb78e6a6a1fbf2a3bb9d25bb3581d7a15f5a72c5cb8717a7 |
| FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-polymarket-0x317f8e4aa158d4dce5c31be35a3b0448d3b55f1f6059334d10dbcd431518e834 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Kashima Antlers | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 45 | — | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 44 | — | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 44 | 51 | 46 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Kashima Antlers (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Mito Holly Hock (-2.5) +3pp 34→37¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market indicates a 34% probability that FC Mito Holly Hock will lose by more than 2.5 goals to Kashima Antlers, with the competing -1.5 spread trading slightly lower at 33%. The close pricing between these two spreads suggests uncertainty about the margin of victory rather than the match outcome itself. The probability reflects Kashima's historical advantage as the stronger J-League side, but limited trading volume ($0 across all contracts in the past 24 hours) indicates sparse market activity and potentially wider bid-ask spreads. Key factors moving this line would include recent form, team injuries, and head-to-head records. The match result itself will directly resolve this contract once played.

### Key factors

- Kashima Antlers' current league position and recent win/loss record versus FC Mito Holly Hock's defensive record
- Total goals in recent matchups between these teams; markets pricing O/U 2.5 at 47 cents suggests moderate scoring expectations
- Absence of significant trading volume ($0 in 24h) across all related contracts, indicating thin liquidity and less refined probability discovery
- Injury status or roster changes for either team that would impact offensive or defensive capability
- Head-to-head historical results between Kashima and Holly Hock, particularly goal differential in recent encounters

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-fc-mito
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=kashima-antlers-vs-fc-mito-holly-hock-more-markets-fc-mito

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.